PitchMath
Primera División · 2025

Universidad Católica 1–3 Deportes La Serena · Primera División

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Deportes La Serena won 1–3.

Shots
1410
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
1.71.7
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Deportes La Serena beat Universidad Católica 3–1. Recorded in this match (Universidad Católica – Deportes La Serena): shots 14–10, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 1.7–1.7, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Universidad Católica have a visible home split

moderate

Universidad Católica's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Universidad Católica's recent record differs from the season

weak

Universidad Católica's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.55 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Deportes La Serena show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Deportes La Serena's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsUniversidad Católica · Deportes La Serena12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUniversidad CatólicaDeportes La SerenaBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against10.1 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots10 shotsUniversidad Católica 14 shots, Deportes La Serena 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsUniversidad Católica 5 shots, Deportes La Serena 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.7 xG1.7 xGUniversidad Católica 1.7 xG, Deportes La Serena 1.7 xG
  • Possession63%37%Universidad Católica 63%, Deportes La Serena 37%
  • Corners11 corners1 cornerUniversidad Católica 11 corners, Deportes La Serena 1 corner
  • Fouls13 fouls23 foulsUniversidad Católica 13 fouls, Deportes La Serena 23 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Universidad Católica
0Draws
1Deportes La Serena
Deportes La Serena — Universidad Católica · Primera División0–4
Universidad Católica — Deportes La Serena · Primera División0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad Católica favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Deportes La Serena in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad Católica11 matchesDeportes La Serena12 matches
1.55 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/121.25 goals/match
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/121.67 goals/match
1.52 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/120.89 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots11/1212.9 shots/match
4.27 shots/matchShots on target11/124.33 shots/match
55.9% ●Possession11/1247.2%
4.91 corners/match ●Corners11/123.67 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls11/1212.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 May 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUniversidad CatólicaDeportes La Serena
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2025
Head-to-headUniversidad Católica — Deportes La Serena
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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