PitchMath
Primera División · 2025

Palestino 1–1 Universidad Católica · Primera División

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palestino and Universidad Católica drew 1–1.

Shots
812
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
0.651.62
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palestino and Universidad Católica drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Palestino – Universidad Católica): shots 8–12, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 0.65–1.62, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palestino's recent record differs from the season

weak

Palestino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.31 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Universidad Católica have a visible away split

moderate

Universidad Católica's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Palestino show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Palestino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsPalestino · Universidad Católica12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPalestinoUniversidad CatólicaBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match9.92 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots12 shotsPalestino 8 shots, Universidad Católica 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsPalestino 4 shots, Universidad Católica 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.65 xG1.62 xGPalestino 0.65 xG, Universidad Católica 1.62 xG
  • Possession43%57%Palestino 43%, Universidad Católica 57%
  • Corners1 corner8 cornersPalestino 1 corner, Universidad Católica 8 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls20 foulsPalestino 14 fouls, Universidad Católica 20 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Palestino
1Draws
2Universidad Católica
Universidad Católica — Palestino · Primera División1–1
Palestino — Universidad Católica · Primera División0–2
Palestino — Universidad Católica · Primera División3–0
Universidad Católica — Palestino · Primera División5–2
Universidad Católica — Palestino · Primera División0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palestino favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Universidad Católica in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palestino13 matchesUniversidad Católica12 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored13/12▲ 1.5 goals/match
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/121.08 goals/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals13/121.53 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots13/1212.3 shots/match
4.92 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/124.5 shots/match
55.1%Possession13/12● 56%
4.62 corners/matchCorners13/12● 5.17 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1213.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Jun 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPalestinoUniversidad Católica
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2025
Head-to-headPalestino — Universidad Católica
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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