PitchMath
Primera División · 2025

Ñublense 0–1 O'Higgins · Primera División

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

O'Higgins won 0–1.

Shots
139
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.350.62
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

O'Higgins beat Ñublense 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ñublense – O'Higgins): shots 13–9, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.35–0.62, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

O'Higgins's recent record differs from the season

moderate

O'Higgins's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots9 shotsÑublense 13 shots, O'Higgins 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsÑublense 3 shots, O'Higgins 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.35 xG0.62 xGÑublense 1.35 xG, O'Higgins 0.62 xG
  • Possession60%40%Ñublense 60%, O'Higgins 40%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersÑublense 6 corners, O'Higgins 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsÑublense 12 fouls, O'Higgins 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Ñublense
2Draws
0O'Higgins
O'Higgins — Ñublense · Primera División1–3
Ñublense — O'Higgins · Primera División2–2
O'Higgins — Ñublense · Primera División1–2
Ñublense — O'Higgins · Primera División2–1
Ñublense — O'Higgins · Primera División2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ñublense favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · O'Higgins in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ñublense12 matchesO'Higgins12 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 0.75 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals12/121.26 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 15.1 shots/match
3.08 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 3.5 shots/match
47.9%Possession12/12● 50.4%
4.33 corners/matchCorners12/12● 4.5 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 May 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsÑublenseO'Higgins
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2025
Head-to-headÑublense — O'Higgins
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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