PitchMath
Primera División · 2025

Deportes La Serena 2–1 Deportes Iquique · Primera División

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Deportes La Serena won 2–1.

Shots
269
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.560.85
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Deportes La Serena beat Deportes Iquique 2–1. Recorded in this match (Deportes La Serena – Deportes Iquique): shots 26–9, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.56–0.85, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportes Iquique's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportes Iquique's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Deportes La Serena have a visible home split

moderate

Deportes La Serena's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots9 shotsDeportes La Serena 26 shots, Deportes Iquique 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsDeportes La Serena 7 shots, Deportes Iquique 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.56 xG0.85 xGDeportes La Serena 1.56 xG, Deportes Iquique 0.85 xG
  • Possession67%33%Deportes La Serena 67%, Deportes Iquique 33%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerDeportes La Serena 4 corners, Deportes Iquique 1 corner
  • Fouls8 fouls7 foulsDeportes La Serena 8 fouls, Deportes Iquique 7 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportes La Serena favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Deportes Iquique in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportes La Serena11 matchesDeportes Iquique10 matches
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/101 goal/match
1.73 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/102.2 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goals11/10▲ 1.39 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots11/1011.9 shots/match
4.09 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/103.8 shots/match
48.1%Possession11/10● 48.1%
3.91 corners/match ●Corners11/103.8 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls11/109.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 20 May 2025, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportes La SerenaDeportes Iquique
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2025
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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