PitchMath
League One · 2026

Plymouth Argyle 0–1 Burton Albion · League One

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Burton Albion won 0–1.

Shots
1310
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
2.50.94
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Burton Albion beat Plymouth Argyle 1–0. Recorded in this match (Plymouth Argyle – Burton Albion): shots 13–10, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 2.5–0.94, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Burton Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Burton Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsPlymouth Argyle · Burton Albion9.63 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPlymouth ArgyleBurton AlbionBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match9.63 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match12.8 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots10 shotsPlymouth Argyle 13 shots, Burton Albion 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsPlymouth Argyle 3 shots, Burton Albion 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.5 xG0.94 xGPlymouth Argyle 2.5 xG, Burton Albion 0.94 xG
  • Possession57%43%Plymouth Argyle 57%, Burton Albion 43%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersPlymouth Argyle 3 corners, Burton Albion 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls4 foulsPlymouth Argyle 11 fouls, Burton Albion 4 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsPlymouth Argyle 3 cards, Burton Albion 3 cards
  • Passes461 passes350 passesPlymouth Argyle 461 passes, Burton Albion 350 passes
  • Pass accuracy77.7%71.4%Plymouth Argyle 77.7%, Burton Albion 71.4%
  • Shots inside box11 shots8 shotsPlymouth Argyle 11 shots, Burton Albion 8 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks4 blocksPlymouth Argyle 5 blocks, Burton Albion 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesPlymouth Argyle 2 saves, Burton Albion 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesPlymouth Argyle 1 offside, Burton Albion 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 23′Curtis TiltYellow card · Burton Albion
  2. Half-time
  3. 56′Will EvansYellow card · Plymouth Argyle
  4. Full time
Player changes · 3grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Burton Albion · 1 player changeMatthew Dennis
  • 59′Plymouth Argyle · 2 player changesJoe Edwards · Caleb Watts

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Plymouth Argyle
  1. Murphy CooperG
  2. Julio PleguezueloD
  3. Alex MitchellD
  4. Matthew SorinolaD
  5. Wes HardingD
  6. Harvey WhiteM
  7. Ronan CurtisM
  8. Oliver IrowM
  9. Tyreeq BakinsonM
  10. Will EvansF
  11. Aribim PeppleF
Burton Albion
  1. Corey AddaiG
  2. Jack ArmerD
  3. George EvansD
  4. Curtis TiltD
  5. Raphael RodriguesD
  6. Finn DelapD
  7. Charlie WebsterM
  8. Will CollarM
  9. Caylan VickersM
  10. Kgagelo ChaukeF
  11. Kain AdomF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Plymouth Argyle
2Draws
0Burton Albion
Plymouth Argyle — Burton Albion · League One3–0
Burton Albion — Plymouth Argyle · League One0–4
Plymouth Argyle — Burton Albion · League One1–0
Burton Albion — Plymouth Argyle · League One2–2
Burton Albion — Plymouth Argyle · League One0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Plymouth Argyle favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Burton Albion in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Plymouth Argyle8 matchesBurton Albion8 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.63 goals/match
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.5 goals/match
1.59 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/80.9 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots8/89.63 shots/match
4.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83.13 shots/match
42.8%Possession8/8● 44.1%
5.63 corners/match ●Corners8/83.13 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls8/813.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPlymouth ArgyleBurton Albion
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headPlymouth Argyle — Burton Albion
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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