PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

FC Twente 3–2 PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie

3–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FC Twente won 3–2.

Shots
2011
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
2.361.02
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Twente beat PSV Eindhoven 3–2. Recorded in this match (FC Twente – PSV Eindhoven): shots 20–11, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 2.36–1.02, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.43 corners/matchCornersFC Twente · PSV Eindhoven● 7.57 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFC TwentePSV EindhovenBaseline
Corners7.43 corners/match7.57 corners/match4.71 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

PSV Eindhoven's recent record differs from the season

weak

PSV Eindhoven's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season3.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for4 goals/match3.43 goals/match1.79 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots11 shotsFC Twente 20 shots, PSV Eindhoven 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsFC Twente 5 shots, PSV Eindhoven 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.36 xG1.02 xGFC Twente 2.36 xG, PSV Eindhoven 1.02 xG
  • Possession40%60%FC Twente 40%, PSV Eindhoven 60%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersFC Twente 6 corners, PSV Eindhoven 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsFC Twente 10 fouls, PSV Eindhoven 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsFC Twente 1 card, PSV Eindhoven 2 cards
  • Passes356 passes523 passesFC Twente 356 passes, PSV Eindhoven 523 passes
  • Pass accuracy77.3%87.2%FC Twente 77.3%, PSV Eindhoven 87.2%
  • Shots inside box13 shots8 shotsFC Twente 13 shots, PSV Eindhoven 8 shots
  • Blocked shots9 blocks2 blocksFC Twente 9 blocks, PSV Eindhoven 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves2 savesFC Twente 2 saves, PSV Eindhoven 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideFC Twente 0 offsides, PSV Eindhoven 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Robin Pröpper · FC Twente · 42′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFilip Thorvaldsen · FC Twente · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMauro Júnior · PSV Eindhoven · 3′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKodai Sano · PSV Eindhoven · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLutsharel Geertruida · PSV Eindhoven · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMauro Júnior · PSV Eindhoven · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaouda Weidmann · FC Twente · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMax Bruns · FC Twente · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKodai Sano · PSV Eindhoven · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDaouda Weidmann · FC Twente · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDaouda Weidmann · FC Twente · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWout Weghorst · FC Twente · 14′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 29′ · 0.07 xG · goalDaan Rots · FC Twente · 67′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedWout Weghorst · FC Twente · 51′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDaouda Weidmann · FC Twente · 78′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPaul Wanner · PSV Eindhoven · 47′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRuud Nijstad · FC Twente · 43′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 26′ · 0.13 xG · goalRuben van Bommel · PSV Eindhoven · 72′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMarko Pjaca · FC Twente · 87′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedDaan Rots · FC Twente · 87′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 59′ · 0.18 xG · on targetYounes Taha · FC Twente · 14′ · 0.19 xG · goalWout Weghorst · FC Twente · 63′ · 0.23 xG · on targetWout Weghorst · FC Twente · 79′ · 0.38 xG · goalDaouda Weidmann · FC Twente · 83′ · 0.49 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Twente: 20 shots, 5 on target, 2.38 xG. PSV Eindhoven: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.85 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Younes Taha · FC Twente · 14′Wout Weghorst · FC Twente · 79′Daouda Weidmann · FC Twente · 83′Guus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 26′Guus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 29′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Twente 2.38 xG · PSV Eindhoven 0.85 xG.

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

FC Twente
  1. Lars UnnerstallG
  2. Robin PröpperD
  3. Ruud NijstadD
  4. Bart van RooijD
  5. Max BrunsD
  6. Ramiz ZerroukiM
  7. Daouda WeidmannM
  8. Younes TahaM
  9. Wout WeghorstF
  10. Filip ThorvaldsenF
  11. Sondre ØrjasæterF
PSV Eindhoven
  1. Matěj KovářG
  2. Lutsharel GeertruidaD
  3. Armando ObispoD
  4. Sergiño DestD
  5. Mauro JúniorD
  6. Paul WannerM
  7. Guus TilM
  8. Kodai SanoM
  9. Ivan PerišićF
  10. Ruben van BommelF
  11. Ricardo PepiF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Twente
0Draws
5PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven — FC Twente · Eredivisie5–1
FC Twente — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie0–2
FC Twente — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie1–3
PSV Eindhoven — FC Twente · Eredivisie6–1
PSV Eindhoven — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Twente favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · PSV Eindhoven in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Twente7 matchesPSV Eindhoven7 matches
2.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 3.43 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.43 goals/match
2.19 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 2.87 xG/match
21.4 shots/matchShots7/721 shots/match
7.57 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 8.43 shots/match
58%Possession7/7● 63.7%
7.43 corners/matchCorners7/7● 7.57 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls7/78.71 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC TwentePSV Eindhoven
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headFC Twente — PSV Eindhoven
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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