PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

PSV Eindhoven 4–1 Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie

4–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

PSV Eindhoven won 4–1.

Shots
2810
Shots on target
106
Expected goals
3.752.29
Possession
76%24%

Full time

What the match recorded

PSV Eindhoven beat Sparta Rotterdam 4–1. Recorded in this match (PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam): shots 28–10, shots on target 10–6, expected goals 3.75–2.29, possession 76%–24%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

PSV Eindhoven show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

22.7 shots/match ▲ShotsPSV Eindhoven · Sparta Rotterdam13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenSparta RotterdamBaseline
Shots22.7 shots/match13.5 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against8.33 shots/match17.2 shots/match16.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

8 corners/match ●CornersPSV Eindhoven · Sparta Rotterdam6.5 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenSparta RotterdamBaseline
Corners8 corners/match6.5 corners/match5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Sparta Rotterdam's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sparta Rotterdam's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.92 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots28 shots10 shotsPSV Eindhoven 28 shots, Sparta Rotterdam 10 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots6 shotsPSV Eindhoven 10 shots, Sparta Rotterdam 6 shots
  • Expected goals3.75 xG2.29 xGPSV Eindhoven 3.75 xG, Sparta Rotterdam 2.29 xG
  • Possession76%24%PSV Eindhoven 76%, Sparta Rotterdam 24%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersPSV Eindhoven 9 corners, Sparta Rotterdam 5 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls3 foulsPSV Eindhoven 6 fouls, Sparta Rotterdam 3 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardPSV Eindhoven 1 card, Sparta Rotterdam 1 card
  • Passes770 passes236 passesPSV Eindhoven 770 passes, Sparta Rotterdam 236 passes
  • Pass accuracy92.7%73.7%PSV Eindhoven 92.7%, Sparta Rotterdam 73.7%
  • Shots inside box17 shots8 shotsPSV Eindhoven 17 shots, Sparta Rotterdam 8 shots
  • Blocked shots11 blocks1 blockPSV Eindhoven 11 blocks, Sparta Rotterdam 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves6 savesPSV Eindhoven 4 saves, Sparta Rotterdam 6 saves
  • Offsides5 offsides0 offsidesPSV Eindhoven 5 offsides, Sparta Rotterdam 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 15′Milan ZonneveldGoal · Sparta Rotterdam
  2. 23′Sven MijnansGoal · PSV Eindhoven
  3. 30′Bruno Martins IndiYellow card · Sparta Rotterdam
  4. 39′Kodai SanoGoal · PSV Eindhoven
  5. Half-time
  6. 74′Sven MijnansGoal · PSV Eindhoven
  7. 75′Armando ObispoYellow card · PSV Eindhoven
  8. 88′Sven MijnansGoal · PSV Eindhoven
  9. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 60′PSV Eindhoven · 3 player changesIvan Perišić · Ruben van Bommel · Ricardo Pepi
  • 63′Sparta Rotterdam · 1 player changeTeo Quintero
  • 64′Sparta Rotterdam · 1 player changeIsaac Babadi
  • 77′Sparta Rotterdam · 1 player changeRobin van Cruijsen
  • 77′PSV Eindhoven · 1 player changeNoah Fernandez
  • 77′Sparta Rotterdam · 1 player changeAndrej Kostić
  • 82′Sparta Rotterdam · 1 player changeJoel Ideho
  • 90′PSV Eindhoven · 1 player changeAyoni Santos

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

PSV Eindhoven
  1. Matěj KovářG
  2. Lutsharel GeertruidaD
  3. Armando ObispoD
  4. Sergiño DestD
  5. Mauro JúniorD
  6. Paul WannerM
  7. Guus TilM
  8. Kodai SanoM
  9. Esmir BajraktarevićF
  10. Sven MijnansF
  11. Amir BouhamdiF
Sparta Rotterdam
  1. Michael BrouwerG
  2. Lushendry Edward MartesD
  3. Marvin YoungD
  4. Bruno Martins IndiD
  5. Bas KuipersD
  6. Nick VerschurenD
  7. Julian BaasM
  8. Cedric HatenboerM
  9. Casper TerhoF
  10. Milan ZonneveldF
  11. Mitchell Van BergenF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5PSV Eindhoven
0Draws
0Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie0–2
PSV Eindhoven — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie6–1
Sparta Rotterdam — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie1–3
PSV Eindhoven — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie2–1
PSV Eindhoven — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: PSV Eindhoven favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Sparta Rotterdam in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

PSV Eindhoven6 matchesSparta Rotterdam6 matches
3.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.67 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/62.17 goals/match
3.18 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.8 xG/match
22.7 shots/match ▲Shots6/613.5 shots/match
9.17 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/65 shots/match
64.3% ●Possession6/645.2%
8 corners/match ●Corners6/66.5 corners/match
8.17 fouls/matchFouls6/610 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPSV EindhovenSparta Rotterdam
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headPSV Eindhoven — Sparta Rotterdam
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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