PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

NEC Nijmegen and Go Ahead Eagles drew 1–1.

Shots
1714
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
1.042.31
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

NEC Nijmegen and Go Ahead Eagles drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (NEC Nijmegen – Go Ahead Eagles): shots 17–14, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.04–2.31, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

NEC Nijmegen's recent record differs from the season

weak

NEC Nijmegen's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match15.1 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Go Ahead Eagles have a visible away split

weak

Go Ahead Eagles's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match15.3 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots14 shotsNEC Nijmegen 17 shots, Go Ahead Eagles 14 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsNEC Nijmegen 5 shots, Go Ahead Eagles 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.04 xG2.31 xGNEC Nijmegen 1.04 xG, Go Ahead Eagles 2.31 xG
  • Possession46%54%NEC Nijmegen 46%, Go Ahead Eagles 54%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersNEC Nijmegen 5 corners, Go Ahead Eagles 7 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls6 foulsNEC Nijmegen 8 fouls, Go Ahead Eagles 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsNEC Nijmegen 0 cards, Go Ahead Eagles 2 cards
  • Passes388 passes459 passesNEC Nijmegen 388 passes, Go Ahead Eagles 459 passes
  • Pass accuracy76.6%80.4%NEC Nijmegen 76.6%, Go Ahead Eagles 80.4%
  • Shots inside box9 shots11 shotsNEC Nijmegen 9 shots, Go Ahead Eagles 11 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks4 blocksNEC Nijmegen 6 blocks, Go Ahead Eagles 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves4 savesNEC Nijmegen 5 saves, Go Ahead Eagles 4 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideNEC Nijmegen 2 offsides, Go Ahead Eagles 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 2′Perr SchuursGoal · NEC Nijmegen
  2. 10′Stefán Ingi SigurðarsonGoal · Go Ahead Eagles
  3. 31′Søren TengstedtYellow card · Go Ahead Eagles
  4. Half-time
  5. 77′Thibo BaetenYellow card · Go Ahead Eagles
  6. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′NEC Nijmegen · 1 player changeBram Nuytinck
  • 60′NEC Nijmegen · 1 player changeAdam Tahaui
  • 69′Go Ahead Eagles · 2 player changesThibo Baeten · Giovanni van Zwam
  • 71′NEC Nijmegen · 2 player changesDennis Geiger · Jamiro Monteiro
  • 83′Go Ahead Eagles · 1 player changeTomas Galvez
  • 89′Go Ahead Eagles · 2 player changesOskar Siira Sivertsen · Yassir Rahmouni

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

NEC Nijmegen
  1. Nikolas PolsterG
  2. Perr SchuursD
  3. Dušan TadićD
  4. Tobias StormD
  5. Gabriel BrásD
  6. Ayodele ThomasD
  7. Darko NejašmićM
  8. Kevin KersM
  9. Tjaronn CheryF
  10. Noé LebretonF
  11. Bryan LinssenF
Go Ahead Eagles
  1. Kjetil HaugG
  2. Alfons SampstedD
  3. Joris KramerD
  4. Dean JamesD
  5. Julius DirksenD
  6. Evert LinthorstM
  7. Victor EdvardsenM
  8. Melle MeulensteenM
  9. Stefán Ingi SigurðarsonF
  10. Søren TengstedtF
  11. Mathis SurayF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1NEC Nijmegen
1Draws
3Go Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie2–1
Go Ahead Eagles — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie1–1
NEC Nijmegen — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie2–3
Go Ahead Eagles — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie5–0
NEC Nijmegen — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: NEC Nijmegen favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Go Ahead Eagles in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

NEC Nijmegen7 matchesGo Ahead Eagles7 matches
1.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 2.29 goals/match
1.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72 goals/match
1.6 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.89 xG/match
15.1 shots/matchShots7/715.3 shots/match
4.14 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 6.29 shots/match
61.1% ●Possession7/753.4%
5 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls7/77.43 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNEC NijmegenGo Ahead Eagles
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headNEC Nijmegen — Go Ahead Eagles
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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