PitchMath
League One · 2026

Peterborough United 0–2 Doncaster Rovers · League One

0–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Doncaster Rovers won 0–2.

Shots
149
Shots on target
04
Expected goals
1.271.1
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Doncaster Rovers beat Peterborough United 2–0. Recorded in this match (Peterborough United – Doncaster Rovers): shots 14–9, shots on target 0–4, expected goals 1.27–1.1, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Peterborough United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Peterborough United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.57 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Peterborough United have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.4% ●PossessionPeterborough United · Doncaster Rovers49.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPeterborough UnitedDoncaster RoversBaseline
Possession59.4%49.6%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots9 shotsPeterborough United 14 shots, Doncaster Rovers 9 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots4 shotsPeterborough United 0 shots, Doncaster Rovers 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.27 xG1.1 xGPeterborough United 1.27 xG, Doncaster Rovers 1.1 xG
  • Possession63%37%Peterborough United 63%, Doncaster Rovers 37%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersPeterborough United 8 corners, Doncaster Rovers 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls17 foulsPeterborough United 12 fouls, Doncaster Rovers 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardPeterborough United 2 cards, Doncaster Rovers 1 card
  • Passes431 passes261 passesPeterborough United 431 passes, Doncaster Rovers 261 passes
  • Pass accuracy80.3%65.1%Peterborough United 80.3%, Doncaster Rovers 65.1%
  • Shots inside box10 shots6 shotsPeterborough United 10 shots, Doncaster Rovers 6 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks2 blocksPeterborough United 5 blocks, Doncaster Rovers 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves0 savesPeterborough United 2 saves, Doncaster Rovers 0 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsidePeterborough United 1 offside, Doncaster Rovers 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 15′Alfie MayGoal · Doncaster Rovers
  2. 36′Josh FeeneyYellow card · Peterborough United
  3. Half-time
  4. 88′Isaac HutchinsonGoal · Doncaster Rovers
  5. 90′Harry LeonardYellow card · Peterborough United
  6. 90′Jack SeniorYellow card · Doncaster Rovers
  7. Full time
Player changes · 7grouped by team and minute
  • 62′Doncaster Rovers · 1 player changeJordan Thomas
  • 64′Peterborough United · 1 player changeHarry Ashfield
  • 65′Peterborough United · 1 player changeBenjamin Woods
  • 73′Doncaster Rovers · 1 player changeTommi O'Reilly
  • 76′Peterborough United · 1 player changeEthan Williams
  • 84′Doncaster Rovers · 1 player changeIsaac Hutchinson
  • 85′Peterborough United · 1 player changeChris Conn-Clarke

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Peterborough United
  1. Alex BassG
  2. Carl JohnstonD
  3. Josh FeeneyD
  4. Harley MillsD
  5. David OkagbueD
  6. Liam KellyM
  7. Harrison JonesM
  8. Danny OrmerodM
  9. Harry LeonardF
  10. Owura EdwardsF
  11. Bolu ShofowokeF
Doncaster Rovers
  1. Tommy SimkinG
  2. James HusbandD
  3. Neill ByrneD
  4. Robbie GottsD
  5. Jack SeniorD
  6. Sean GrehanD
  7. Owen BaileyM
  8. George BroadbentM
  9. Brandon HanlanF
  10. Alfie MayF
  11. Leon AyindeF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Peterborough United
0Draws
2Doncaster Rovers
Peterborough United — Doncaster Rovers · League One1–3
Doncaster Rovers — Peterborough United · League One2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Peterborough United favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Doncaster Rovers in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Peterborough United7 matchesDoncaster Rovers7 matches
0.57 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.42 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.34 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots7/713.6 shots/match
2.71 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 4.14 shots/match
59.4% ●Possession7/749.6%
5.43 corners/match ●Corners7/75 corners/match
9.43 fouls/matchFouls7/712.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPeterborough UnitedDoncaster Rovers
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headPeterborough United — Doncaster Rovers
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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