PitchMath
League One · 2026

Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 Peterborough United · League One

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Milton Keynes Dons and Peterborough United drew 1–1.

Shots
1416
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
1.151.2
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Milton Keynes Dons and Peterborough United drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Milton Keynes Dons – Peterborough United): shots 14–16, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 1.15–1.2, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Milton Keynes Dons have a visible home split

weak

Milton Keynes Dons's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match15 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Peterborough United's recent record differs from the season

weak

Peterborough United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Peterborough United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Peterborough United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsMilton Keynes Dons · Peterborough United13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMilton Keynes DonsPeterborough UnitedBaseline
Shots15 shots/match13.7 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against17.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots16 shotsMilton Keynes Dons 14 shots, Peterborough United 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsMilton Keynes Dons 2 shots, Peterborough United 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.15 xG1.2 xGMilton Keynes Dons 1.15 xG, Peterborough United 1.2 xG
  • Possession35%65%Milton Keynes Dons 35%, Peterborough United 65%
  • Corners6 corners9 cornersMilton Keynes Dons 6 corners, Peterborough United 9 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls6 foulsMilton Keynes Dons 11 fouls, Peterborough United 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsMilton Keynes Dons 2 cards, Peterborough United 0 cards
  • Passes262 passes501 passesMilton Keynes Dons 262 passes, Peterborough United 501 passes
  • Pass accuracy71.8%84.6%Milton Keynes Dons 71.8%, Peterborough United 84.6%
  • Shots inside box12 shots10 shotsMilton Keynes Dons 12 shots, Peterborough United 10 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks10 blocksMilton Keynes Dons 5 blocks, Peterborough United 10 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves1 saveMilton Keynes Dons 2 saves, Peterborough United 1 save
  • Offsides4 offsides1 offsideMilton Keynes Dons 4 offsides, Peterborough United 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 29′Aaron CollinsGoal · Milton Keynes Dons
  2. Half-time
  3. 80′Cohen BramallYellow card · Milton Keynes Dons
  4. 85′Chris Conn-ClarkeGoal · Peterborough United
  5. 86′Alex GilbeyYellow card · Milton Keynes Dons
  6. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 51′Peterborough United · 3 player changesHarry Ashfield · Brandon Khela · Harley Mills
  • 57′Peterborough United · 1 player changeDanny Ormerod
  • 60′Milton Keynes Dons · 1 player changeMarvin Ekpiteta
  • 73′Milton Keynes Dons · 1 player changeJay Matete
  • 74′Milton Keynes Dons · 1 player changeRushian Hepburn-Murphy
  • 78′Peterborough United · 1 player changeChris Conn-Clarke

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Milton Keynes Dons3-1-4-2
  1. Will DennisG
  2. Gethin JonesD
  3. Charlie GoodeD
  4. Aaron CollinsD
  5. Cohen BramallD
  6. Charlie WallerD
  7. Dan CrowleyM
  8. Alex GilbeyM
  9. Ryan WintleM
  10. Sam NombeF
  11. Callum PatersonF

Substitutes

  • Craig McGillivray
  • Elijah Campbell
  • Marvin Ekpiteta
  • Daniel Barlaser
  • Ibrahim Fullah
  • Jay Matete
  • Rushian Hepburn-Murphy
Peterborough United4-2-3-1
  1. Alex BassG
  2. Evan WeirD
  3. Josh FeeneyD
  4. David OkagbueD
  5. James DornellyD
  6. Liam KellyM
  7. Harrison JonesM
  8. Benjamin WoodsM
  9. Harry LeonardF
  10. Owura EdwardsF
  11. Bolu ShofowokeF

Substitutes

  • Collin Andeng-Ndi
  • Harley Mills
  • Brandon Khela
  • Chris Conn-Clarke
  • Harry Ashfield
  • Ethan Williams
  • Danny Ormerod

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Milton Keynes Dons
0Draws
2Peterborough United
Peterborough United — Milton Keynes Dons · League One2–0
Milton Keynes Dons — Peterborough United · League One2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Milton Keynes Dons favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Peterborough United in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Milton Keynes Dons6 matchesPeterborough United6 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.67 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.67 goals/match
1.55 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.44 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots6/613.7 shots/match
3.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/63.17 shots/match
41.3%Possession6/6● 58.8%
5.33 corners/match ●Corners6/65 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls6/69 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMilton Keynes DonsPeterborough United
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headMilton Keynes Dons — Peterborough United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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