PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

VfL Osnabrück 1–3 Hertha BSC · 2. Bundesliga

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Hertha BSC won 1–3.

Shots
1419
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
1.731.85
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hertha BSC beat VfL Osnabrück 3–1. Recorded in this match (VfL Osnabrück – Hertha BSC): shots 14–19, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 1.73–1.85, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Hertha BSC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Hertha BSC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsVfL Osnabrück · Hertha BSC17.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVfL OsnabrückHertha BSCBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match17.2 shots/match15.5 shots/match
Shots against19.8 shots/match14.6 shots/match15.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots19 shotsVfL Osnabrück 14 shots, Hertha BSC 19 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsVfL Osnabrück 7 shots, Hertha BSC 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.73 xG1.85 xGVfL Osnabrück 1.73 xG, Hertha BSC 1.85 xG
  • Possession43%57%VfL Osnabrück 43%, Hertha BSC 57%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersVfL Osnabrück 4 corners, Hertha BSC 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsVfL Osnabrück 12 fouls, Hertha BSC 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsVfL Osnabrück 2 cards, Hertha BSC 2 cards
  • Passes379 passes506 passesVfL Osnabrück 379 passes, Hertha BSC 506 passes
  • Pass accuracy73.1%81.2%VfL Osnabrück 73.1%, Hertha BSC 81.2%
  • Shots inside box9 shots13 shotsVfL Osnabrück 9 shots, Hertha BSC 13 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks4 blocksVfL Osnabrück 2 blocks, Hertha BSC 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves5 savesVfL Osnabrück 4 saves, Hertha BSC 5 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides3 offsidesVfL Osnabrück 0 offsides, Hertha BSC 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 10′Josip BrekaloYellow card · Hertha BSC
  2. 37′Linus GechterYellow card · Hertha BSC
  3. Half-time
  4. 50′Adrian BeckYellow card · VfL Osnabrück
  5. 50′Josip BrekaloGoal · Hertha BSC
  6. 55′Robin FabinskiYellow card · VfL Osnabrück
  7. 60′Robin MeißnerPenalty missed · VfL Osnabrück
  8. 70′Kevin SessaGoal · Hertha BSC
  9. 82′Jonathan GómezGoal · VfL Osnabrück
  10. 90′Farid Alfa-RuprechtGoal · Hertha BSC
  11. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 68′VfL Osnabrück · 1 player changeDaniel-Kofi Kyereh
  • 68′Hertha BSC · 1 player changeGustaf Nilsson
  • 77′Hertha BSC · 1 player changeDeyovaisio Zeefuik
  • 77′VfL Osnabrück · 1 player changeBernd Riesselmann
  • 77′Hertha BSC · 1 player changeFarid Alfa-Ruprecht
  • 77′VfL Osnabrück · 1 player changeKonrad Faber
  • 87′Hertha BSC · 2 player changesSelim Telib · Soufian Gouram
  • 90′VfL Osnabrück · 2 player changesTheo Janotta · Luca Raimund

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

VfL Osnabrück
  1. Jonas KrumreyG
  2. Jannik MüllerD
  3. Niklas WiemannD
  4. Robin FabinskiD
  5. Patrick KammerbauerD
  6. Jonathan GómezD
  7. Bjarke JacobsenM
  8. Fridolin WagnerM
  9. Leonhard MünstF
  10. Robin MeißnerF
  11. Adrian BeckF
Hertha BSC
  1. Marius GersbeckG
  2. Julian EitschbergerD
  3. Mads PedersenD
  4. Niklas KolbeD
  5. Linus GechterD
  6. Kevin SessaM
  7. Oluwaseun AdewumiM
  8. Pascal KlemensM
  9. Josip BrekaloF
  10. Sebastian GrønningF
  11. Jón Dagur ÞórsteinssonF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1VfL Osnabrück
1Draws
0Hertha BSC
VfL Osnabrück — Hertha BSC · 2. Bundesliga2–1
Hertha BSC — VfL Osnabrück · 2. Bundesliga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Osnabrück favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Hertha BSC in 11 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Osnabrück5 matchesHertha BSC5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 3 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.92 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 17.2 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target5/55.6 shots/match
41.8%Possession5/5● 48%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/5● 5.8 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL OsnabrückHertha BSC
Competition2. Bundesliga
Head-to-headVfL Osnabrück — Hertha BSC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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