PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

Karlsruher SC 0–3 Energie Cottbus · 2. Bundesliga

0–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Energie Cottbus won 0–3.

Shots
2025
Shots on target
510
Expected goals
1.731.93
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Energie Cottbus beat Karlsruher SC 3–0. Recorded in this match (Karlsruher SC – Energie Cottbus): shots 20–25, shots on target 5–10, expected goals 1.73–1.93, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.6 corners/matchCornersKarlsruher SC · Energie Cottbus7.6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricKarlsruher SCEnergie CottbusBaseline
Corners7.6 corners/match7.6 corners/match5.7 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Karlsruher SC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Karlsruher SC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.8 shots/match ▲ShotsKarlsruher SC · Energie Cottbus18.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKarlsruher SCEnergie CottbusBaseline
Shots18.8 shots/match18.2 shots/match15.5 shots/match
Shots against17 shots/match19.4 shots/match15.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots25 shotsKarlsruher SC 20 shots, Energie Cottbus 25 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots10 shotsKarlsruher SC 5 shots, Energie Cottbus 10 shots
  • Expected goals1.73 xG1.93 xGKarlsruher SC 1.73 xG, Energie Cottbus 1.93 xG
  • Possession57%43%Karlsruher SC 57%, Energie Cottbus 43%
  • Corners5 corners8 cornersKarlsruher SC 5 corners, Energie Cottbus 8 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls16 foulsKarlsruher SC 13 fouls, Energie Cottbus 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsKarlsruher SC 1 card, Energie Cottbus 2 cards
  • Passes445 passes333 passesKarlsruher SC 445 passes, Energie Cottbus 333 passes
  • Pass accuracy80.5%78.1%Karlsruher SC 80.5%, Energie Cottbus 78.1%
  • Shots inside box17 shots13 shotsKarlsruher SC 17 shots, Energie Cottbus 13 shots
  • Blocked shots10 blocks3 blocksKarlsruher SC 10 blocks, Energie Cottbus 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves7 saves5 savesKarlsruher SC 7 saves, Energie Cottbus 5 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides1 offsideKarlsruher SC 4 offsides, Energie Cottbus 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 7′Lucas CopadoYellow card · Energie Cottbus
  2. 18′Leonardo BittencourtYellow card · Energie Cottbus
  3. 45′Lukas MichelbrinkGoal · Energie Cottbus
  4. Half-time
  5. 55′Dominik PelivanGoal · Energie Cottbus
  6. 62′Justin ButlerGoal · Energie Cottbus
  7. 65′Rafael Pinto PedrosaYellow card · Karlsruher SC
  8. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Energie Cottbus · 1 player changeDominik Pelivan
  • 46′Karlsruher SC · 1 player changeLilian Egloff
  • 61′Energie Cottbus · 1 player changeMoritz Hannemann
  • 64′Karlsruher SC · 1 player changeJason Ponente
  • 67′Karlsruher SC · 1 player changeJohn Davis Meyer
  • 73′Energie Cottbus · 2 player changesChristian Kinsombi · Dmytro Bogdanov
  • 81′Karlsruher SC · 1 player changeSandro Trémoulet
  • 82′Karlsruher SC · 1 player changeSanteri Väänänen
  • 85′Energie Cottbus · 1 player changeFousseny Doumbia

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Karlsruher SC
  1. Hans Christian BernatG
  2. Sebastian JungD
  3. Christoph KobaldD
  4. Marcel FrankeD
  5. Rafael Pinto PedrosaD
  6. Marvin WanitzekM
  7. Tim CivejaM
  8. Danyal ZorM
  9. Noel EichingerF
  10. Shio FukudaF
  11. Louey Ben FarhatF
Energie Cottbus
  1. Marcel LotkaG
  2. King ManuD
  3. Henry RorigD
  4. Axel BorgmannD
  5. Luca ErleinD
  6. Lukas MichelbrinkM
  7. Jannis BoziarisM
  8. Leonardo BittencourtM
  9. Lucas CopadoF
  10. Tolcay CiğerciF
  11. Justin ButlerF

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Karlsruher SC favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Energie Cottbus in 3 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Karlsruher SC5 matchesEnergie Cottbus5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 2.6 goals/match
2.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 2 xG/match
18.8 shots/matchShots5/518.2 shots/match
6.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/55.8 shots/match
50.4% ●Possession5/550.2%
7.6 corners/matchCorners5/57.6 corners/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKarlsruher SCEnergie Cottbus
Competition2. Bundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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