PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

Karlsruher SC 0–1 1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

1. FC Nürnberg won 0–1.

Shots
910
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.430.81
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Nürnberg beat Karlsruher SC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Karlsruher SC – 1. FC Nürnberg): shots 9–10, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.43–0.81, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Karlsruher SC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Karlsruher SC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

1. FC Nürnberg have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.3%PossessionKarlsruher SC · 1. FC Nürnberg● 57.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricKarlsruher SC1. FC NürnbergBaseline
Possession47.3%57.2%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots10 shotsKarlsruher SC 9 shots, 1. FC Nürnberg 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsKarlsruher SC 3 shots, 1. FC Nürnberg 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.43 xG0.81 xGKarlsruher SC 0.43 xG, 1. FC Nürnberg 0.81 xG
  • Possession32%68%Karlsruher SC 32%, 1. FC Nürnberg 68%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersKarlsruher SC 2 corners, 1. FC Nürnberg 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls11 foulsKarlsruher SC 16 fouls, 1. FC Nürnberg 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardKarlsruher SC 3 cards, 1. FC Nürnberg 1 card
  • Passes287 passes613 passesKarlsruher SC 287 passes, 1. FC Nürnberg 613 passes
  • Pass accuracy70.4%88.3%Karlsruher SC 70.4%, 1. FC Nürnberg 88.3%
  • Shots inside box4 shots8 shotsKarlsruher SC 4 shots, 1. FC Nürnberg 8 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks4 blocksKarlsruher SC 4 blocks, 1. FC Nürnberg 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesKarlsruher SC 2 saves, 1. FC Nürnberg 3 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideKarlsruher SC 3 offsides, 1. FC Nürnberg 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 21′Marcel FrankeYellow card · Karlsruher SC
  2. 30′Mohamed Ali ZomaGoal · 1. FC Nürnberg
  3. 38′Deniz OfliYellow card · Karlsruher SC
  4. Half-time
  5. 67′Adam MarkhievYellow card · 1. FC Nürnberg
  6. 72′Noel EichingerYellow card · Karlsruher SC
  7. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Karlsruher SC · 2 player changesJason Ponente · Sandro Trémoulet
  • 70′1. FC Nürnberg · 2 player changesRafael Lubach · William Bøving
  • 71′Karlsruher SC · 2 player changesNoel Eichinger · Héliton
  • 79′1. FC Nürnberg · 1 player changeKristian Mandic
  • 86′Karlsruher SC · 1 player changeSanteri Väänänen
  • 90′1. FC Nürnberg · 2 player changesRayan Ghrieb · Sigurd Haugen

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Karlsruher SC
  1. Hans Christian BernatG
  2. Deniz OfliD
  3. Christoph KobaldD
  4. Marcel FrankeD
  5. Viktor BerghD
  6. Marvin WanitzekM
  7. Lilian EgloffM
  8. Danyal ZorM
  9. Rafael Pinto PedrosaM
  10. Shio FukudaF
  11. Louey Ben FarhatF
1. FC Nürnberg
  1. Jan ReichertG
  2. Alexios KalogeropoulosD
  3. Fynn OttoD
  4. Tim JanischD
  5. Eric PorstnerD
  6. Adam MarkhievM
  7. Javier FernandezM
  8. Finn Ole BeckerM
  9. Julian JustvanF
  10. Piet ScobelF
  11. Mohamed Ali ZomaF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Karlsruher SC
0Draws
21. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Nürnberg — Karlsruher SC · 2. Bundesliga5–1
Karlsruher SC — 1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga2–1
1. FC Nürnberg — Karlsruher SC · 2. Bundesliga2–1
Karlsruher SC — 1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga3–2
1. FC Nürnberg — Karlsruher SC · 2. Bundesliga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Karlsruher SC favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · 1. FC Nürnberg in 11 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Karlsruher SC6 matches1. FC Nürnberg6 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 2.67 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1 goal/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.56 xG/match
17.2 shots/matchShots6/616.7 shots/match
5.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 6.67 shots/match
47.3%Possession6/6● 57.2%
6.67 corners/match ●Corners6/65 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls6/610.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKarlsruher SC1. FC Nürnberg
Competition2. Bundesliga
Head-to-headKarlsruher SC — 1. FC Nürnberg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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