PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

Energie Cottbus 1–1 FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Energie Cottbus and FC St. Pauli drew 1–1.

Shots
147
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.120.77
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Energie Cottbus and FC St. Pauli drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Energie Cottbus – FC St. Pauli): shots 14–7, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.12–0.77, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC St. Pauli have a visible away split

weak

FC St. Pauli's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match14.2 shots/match15.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots7 shotsEnergie Cottbus 14 shots, FC St. Pauli 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsEnergie Cottbus 5 shots, FC St. Pauli 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.12 xG0.77 xGEnergie Cottbus 1.12 xG, FC St. Pauli 0.77 xG
  • Possession69%31%Energie Cottbus 69%, FC St. Pauli 31%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersEnergie Cottbus 9 corners, FC St. Pauli 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls7 foulsEnergie Cottbus 13 fouls, FC St. Pauli 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsEnergie Cottbus 2 cards, FC St. Pauli 4 cards
  • Passes635 passes279 passesEnergie Cottbus 635 passes, FC St. Pauli 279 passes
  • Pass accuracy88.2%75.3%Energie Cottbus 88.2%, FC St. Pauli 75.3%
  • Shots inside box5 shots2 shotsEnergie Cottbus 5 shots, FC St. Pauli 2 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks2 blocksEnergie Cottbus 6 blocks, FC St. Pauli 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save4 savesEnergie Cottbus 1 save, FC St. Pauli 4 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides4 offsidesEnergie Cottbus 3 offsides, FC St. Pauli 4 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 17′Tomoya AndoYellow card · FC St. Pauli
  2. 21′Tomoya AndoSecond yellow · FC St. Pauli
  3. 37′Justin ButlerGoal · Energie Cottbus
  4. Half-time
  5. 57′Axel BorgmannYellow card · Energie Cottbus
  6. 60′Arkadiusz PyrkaYellow card · FC St. Pauli
  7. 77′David NemethYellow card · FC St. Pauli
  8. 77′Marcel LotkaYellow card · Energie Cottbus
  9. 80′Martijn KaarsGoal · FC St. Pauli
  10. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 29′FC St. Pauli · 1 player changeLars Ritzka
  • 57′FC St. Pauli · 1 player changeMartijn Kaars
  • 62′Energie Cottbus · 2 player changesDominik Pelivan · Christian Kinsombi
  • 74′FC St. Pauli · 1 player changeTaichi Hara
  • 75′FC St. Pauli · 1 player changeRicky-Jade Jones
  • 79′Energie Cottbus · 2 player changesDmytro Bogdanov · Fousseny Doumbia

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Energie Cottbus
  1. Marcel LotkaG
  2. King ManuD
  3. Henry RorigD
  4. Axel BorgmannD
  5. Luca ErleinD
  6. Lukas MichelbrinkM
  7. Moritz HannemannM
  8. Leonardo BittencourtM
  9. Lucas CopadoF
  10. Tolcay CiğerciF
  11. Justin ButlerF
FC St. Pauli
  1. Ben VollG
  2. David NemethD
  3. Eric SmithD
  4. Arkadiusz PyrkaD
  5. Tomoya AndoD
  6. Louis OppieD
  7. Joel Chima FujitaM
  8. Mathias RasmussenM
  9. Youssoupha NiangF
  10. Abdoulie CeesayF
  11. Connor MetcalfeF

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Energie Cottbus favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · FC St. Pauli in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Energie Cottbus6 matchesFC St. Pauli6 matches
2.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.33 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.86 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.43 xG/match
17.5 shots/match ▲Shots6/614.2 shots/match
5.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/65 shots/match
53.3% ●Possession6/646.7%
7.83 corners/match ●Corners6/66 corners/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls6/610.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEnergie CottbusFC St. Pauli
Competition2. Bundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required