PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 1. FC Heidenheim · 2. Bundesliga

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Arminia Bielefeld and 1. FC Heidenheim drew 2–2.

Shots
614
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.492.52
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Arminia Bielefeld and 1. FC Heidenheim drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Arminia Bielefeld – 1. FC Heidenheim): shots 6–14, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.49–2.52, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Heidenheim have a visible away split

weak

1. FC Heidenheim's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match15.7 shots/match15.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots14 shotsArminia Bielefeld 6 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsArminia Bielefeld 3 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.49 xG2.52 xGArminia Bielefeld 0.49 xG, 1. FC Heidenheim 2.52 xG
  • Possession42%58%Arminia Bielefeld 42%, 1. FC Heidenheim 58%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersArminia Bielefeld 5 corners, 1. FC Heidenheim 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls9 foulsArminia Bielefeld 13 fouls, 1. FC Heidenheim 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsArminia Bielefeld 3 cards, 1. FC Heidenheim 4 cards
  • Passes375 passes508 passesArminia Bielefeld 375 passes, 1. FC Heidenheim 508 passes
  • Pass accuracy76.8%81.9%Arminia Bielefeld 76.8%, 1. FC Heidenheim 81.9%
  • Shots inside box2 shots10 shotsArminia Bielefeld 2 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 10 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block1 blockArminia Bielefeld 1 block, 1. FC Heidenheim 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves1 saveArminia Bielefeld 5 saves, 1. FC Heidenheim 1 save

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 13′Joel GrodowskiGoal · Arminia Bielefeld
  2. 22′Paul HennrichYellow card · 1. FC Heidenheim
  3. 24′Patrick MainkaYellow card · 1. FC Heidenheim
  4. 28′Maximilian BauerYellow card · Arminia Bielefeld
  5. 30′Budu ZivzivadzePenalty goal · 1. FC Heidenheim
  6. 45′Paul HennrichGoal · 1. FC Heidenheim
  7. Half-time
  8. 55′Felix HagmannGoal · Arminia Bielefeld
  9. 59′Joel GrodowskiYellow card · Arminia Bielefeld
  10. 59′Jan SchöppnerYellow card · 1. FC Heidenheim
  11. 76′Maximilian GroßerYellow card · Arminia Bielefeld
  12. 88′Luca KerberYellow card · 1. FC Heidenheim
  13. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Arminia Bielefeld · 2 player changesFelix Hagmann · Leon Jensen
  • 64′Arminia Bielefeld · 1 player changeBenjamin Boakye
  • 65′Arminia Bielefeld · 1 player changeIsaiah Young
  • 71′1. FC Heidenheim · 2 player changesMathias Honsak · Mikkel Kaufmann
  • 77′1. FC Heidenheim · 1 player changeYannik Wagner
  • 85′1. FC Heidenheim · 2 player changesLuca Kerber · Oualid Mhamdi

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Arminia Bielefeld
  1. Jonas Thomas KerskenG
  2. Maximilian BauerD
  3. Henri KoudossouD
  4. Maximilian GroßerD
  5. Tim HandwerkerD
  6. Jannik RocheltM
  7. Joel GrodowskiM
  8. Monju MomuluhM
  9. Stefano RussoM
  10. Marius WörlM
  11. David MinF
1. FC Heidenheim
  1. Thomas DähneG
  2. Marnon BuschD
  3. Patrick MainkaD
  4. Jonas FöhrenbachD
  5. Michael HeuleD
  6. Jan SchöppnerM
  7. Paul HennrichM
  8. Christian ContehM
  9. Julian NiehuesM
  10. Budu ZivzivadzeF
  11. Alessandro VogtF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Arminia Bielefeld
1Draws
11. FC Heidenheim
Arminia Bielefeld — 1. FC Heidenheim · 2. Bundesliga0–1
1. FC Heidenheim — Arminia Bielefeld · 2. Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Arminia Bielefeld favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 7 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Arminia Bielefeld6 matches1. FC Heidenheim6 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 2.33 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/62 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 2.01 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 15.7 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5.67 shots/match
46%Possession6/6● 46.7%
6.17 corners/match ●Corners6/64.5 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls6/610.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsArminia Bielefeld1. FC Heidenheim
Competition2. Bundesliga
Head-to-headArminia Bielefeld — 1. FC Heidenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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