PitchMath
League One · 2026

Doncaster Rovers 1–1 Notts County · League One

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Doncaster Rovers and Notts County drew 1–1.

Shots
1414
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.990.87
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Doncaster Rovers and Notts County drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Doncaster Rovers – Notts County): shots 14–14, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.99–0.87, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Doncaster Rovers, Notts County.

3.2 days ▲Rest daysDoncaster Rovers · Notts County3.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricDoncaster RoversNotts CountyBaseline
Rest days3.2 days3.2 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Doncaster Rovers show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Doncaster Rovers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsDoncaster Rovers · Notts County14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDoncaster RoversNotts CountyBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match14 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against13.5 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots14 shotsDoncaster Rovers 14 shots, Notts County 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsDoncaster Rovers 2 shots, Notts County 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.99 xG0.87 xGDoncaster Rovers 0.99 xG, Notts County 0.87 xG
  • Possession55%45%Doncaster Rovers 55%, Notts County 45%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersDoncaster Rovers 4 corners, Notts County 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsDoncaster Rovers 11 fouls, Notts County 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsDoncaster Rovers 2 cards, Notts County 3 cards
  • Passes421 passes346 passesDoncaster Rovers 421 passes, Notts County 346 passes
  • Pass accuracy77.4%74%Doncaster Rovers 77.4%, Notts County 74%
  • Shots inside box7 shots10 shotsDoncaster Rovers 7 shots, Notts County 10 shots
  • Blocked shots10 blocks6 blocksDoncaster Rovers 10 blocks, Notts County 6 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves1 saveDoncaster Rovers 2 saves, Notts County 1 save
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesDoncaster Rovers 1 offside, Notts County 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 36′Isaac HutchinsonGoal · Doncaster Rovers
  2. 44′Jack SeniorYellow card · Doncaster Rovers
  3. 45′Darius LipsiucYellow card · Notts County
  4. Half-time
  5. 64′Oliver CooperGoal · Notts County
  6. 76′Oliver CooperYellow card · Notts County
  7. 88′Harry CliftonYellow card · Doncaster Rovers
  8. 89′Jacob BedeauYellow card · Notts County
  9. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Notts County · 1 player changeQamaruddin Kouhyar
  • 63′Notts County · 2 player changesDaniel Kanu · Callum Roberts
  • 69′Doncaster Rovers · 2 player changesBayley McCann · Leon Ayinde
  • 70′Notts County · 1 player changeJack Evans
  • 77′Doncaster Rovers · 2 player changesJordan Thomas · Harry Clifton
  • 90′Doncaster Rovers · 1 player changeJames Husband

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Doncaster Rovers favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Notts County in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Doncaster Rovers4 matchesNotts County4 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.56 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 14 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 4.25 shots/match
48.8% ●Possession4/444.5%
4.75 corners/matchCorners4/44.75 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls4/414.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 1 Sept 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDoncaster RoversNotts County
CompetitionLeague One
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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