PitchMath
League One · 2026

Stevenage 2–2 Doncaster Rovers · League One

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Stevenage and Doncaster Rovers drew 2–2.

Shots
912
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
0.470.65
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stevenage and Doncaster Rovers drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Stevenage – Doncaster Rovers): shots 9–12, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 0.47–0.65, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Doncaster Rovers show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Doncaster Rovers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.33 shots/match ▲ShotsStevenage · Doncaster Rovers11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStevenageDoncaster RoversBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match11 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

16 fouls/matchFoulsStevenage · Doncaster Rovers13 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricStevenageDoncaster RoversBaseline
Fouls16 fouls/match13 fouls/match11.7 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots12 shotsStevenage 9 shots, Doncaster Rovers 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsStevenage 5 shots, Doncaster Rovers 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.47 xG0.65 xGStevenage 0.47 xG, Doncaster Rovers 0.65 xG
  • Possession47%53%Stevenage 47%, Doncaster Rovers 53%
  • Corners9 corners10 cornersStevenage 9 corners, Doncaster Rovers 10 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls16 foulsStevenage 9 fouls, Doncaster Rovers 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards3 cardsStevenage 0 cards, Doncaster Rovers 3 cards
  • Passes307 passes352 passesStevenage 307 passes, Doncaster Rovers 352 passes
  • Pass accuracy68.4%70.7%Stevenage 68.4%, Doncaster Rovers 70.7%
  • Shots inside box7 shots6 shotsStevenage 7 shots, Doncaster Rovers 6 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks7 blocksStevenage 2 blocks, Doncaster Rovers 7 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesStevenage 2 saves, Doncaster Rovers 3 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideStevenage 3 offsides, Doncaster Rovers 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 40′Isaac HutchinsonYellow card · Doncaster Rovers
  2. Half-time
  3. 57′Jay McGrathYellow card · Doncaster Rovers
  4. 57′Josh MagennisGoal · Stevenage
  5. 70′Jack SeniorGoal · Doncaster Rovers
  6. 76′Jack SeniorYellow card · Doncaster Rovers
  7. 80′Owen BaileyGoal · Doncaster Rovers
  8. 82′Oliver SandersonGoal · Stevenage
  9. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Doncaster Rovers · 1 player changeBayley McCann
  • 63′Doncaster Rovers · 1 player changeGeorge Broadbent
  • 64′Doncaster Rovers · 3 player changesBrandon Hanlan · Sean Grehan · Leon Ayinde
  • 71′Stevenage · 1 player changeOliver Sanderson
  • 73′Stevenage · 1 player changeTerry Taylor
  • 74′Stevenage · 1 player changeMichael Mellon
  • 90′Stevenage · 1 player changeSaxon Earley

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Stevenage
2Draws
0Doncaster Rovers
Doncaster Rovers — Stevenage · League One1–1
Stevenage — Doncaster Rovers · League One0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stevenage favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Doncaster Rovers in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stevenage3 matchesDoncaster Rovers3 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/31 goal/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 1.33 goals/match
0.66 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.05 xG/match
9.33 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 11 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/33.67 shots/match
46.7%Possession3/346.7%
5 corners/matchCorners3/35 corners/match
16 fouls/matchFouls3/313 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStevenageDoncaster Rovers
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headStevenage — Doncaster Rovers
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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