PitchMath
League One · 2026

Bradford City 1–0 Mansfield Town · League One

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Bradford City won 1–0.

Shots
98
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.030.48
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bradford City beat Mansfield Town 1–0. Recorded in this match (Bradford City – Mansfield Town): shots 9–8, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.03–0.48, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bradford City, Mansfield Town.

3.8 days ▲Rest daysBradford City · Mansfield Town2.79 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBradford CityMansfield TownBaseline
Rest days3.8 days2.79 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Mansfield Town have a visible away split

weak

Mansfield Town's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.67 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.67 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14 fouls/matchFoulsBradford City · Mansfield Town14.8 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBradford CityMansfield TownBaseline
Fouls14 fouls/match14.8 fouls/match12.6 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots8 shotsBradford City 9 shots, Mansfield Town 8 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsBradford City 7 shots, Mansfield Town 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.03 xG0.48 xGBradford City 1.03 xG, Mansfield Town 0.48 xG
  • Possession46%54%Bradford City 46%, Mansfield Town 54%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersBradford City 4 corners, Mansfield Town 3 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls18 foulsBradford City 19 fouls, Mansfield Town 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsBradford City 2 cards, Mansfield Town 2 cards
  • Passes348 passes405 passesBradford City 348 passes, Mansfield Town 405 passes
  • Pass accuracy61.8%69.4%Bradford City 61.8%, Mansfield Town 69.4%
  • Shots inside box7 shots6 shotsBradford City 7 shots, Mansfield Town 6 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block3 blocksBradford City 1 block, Mansfield Town 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves6 savesBradford City 2 saves, Mansfield Town 6 saves

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 18′Antoni SarcevicGoal · Bradford City
  2. Half-time
  3. 60′Louis ReedYellow card · Mansfield Town
  4. 63′Antoni SarcevicYellow card · Bradford City
  5. 87′Elliott HewittYellow card · Mansfield Town
  6. 90′George PrattYellow card · Bradford City
  7. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Mansfield Town · 2 player changesRhys Oates · David McGoldrick
  • 64′Mansfield Town · 1 player changeElliott Hewitt
  • 66′Bradford City · 1 player changeHenry Cartwright
  • 66′Mansfield Town · 1 player changeLuke Bolton
  • 66′Bradford City · 1 player changeKayden Jackson
  • 71′Bradford City · 1 player changeNick Powell
  • 80′Mansfield Town · 1 player changeTyler Roberts
  • 90′Bradford City · 1 player changeMacauley Gillesphey

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Bradford City3-4-2-1
  1. Jon McCrackenG
  2. Ibou TourayD
  3. Josh NeufvilleD
  4. Aden BaldwinD
  5. George PrattD
  6. Matthew PenningtonD
  7. Callum ConnollyM
  8. Adam PhillipsM
  9. Jake BeesleyF
  10. Antoni SarcevicF
  11. Bobby PointonF

Substitutes

  • Cameron Dawson
  • Reece Welch
  • Macauley Gillesphey
  • Henry Cartwright
  • Kieran Morgan
  • Nick Powell
  • Kayden Jackson
Mansfield Town3-1-4-2
  1. Liam RobertsG
  2. Kyle KnoyleD
  3. Ryan SweeneyD
  4. George MarisD
  5. Frazer Blake-TracyD
  6. Adedeji OshilajaD
  7. Liam ThompsonM
  8. Nathan Moriah-WelshM
  9. Louis ReedM
  10. Michael SmithF
  11. Regan HendryF

Substitutes

  • Harry Lewis
  • Elliott Hewitt
  • Luke Bolton
  • Owen Dodgson
  • David McGoldrick
  • Rhys Oates
  • Tyler Roberts

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Bradford City
1Draws
1Mansfield Town
Bradford City — Mansfield Town · League One1–1
Mansfield Town — Bradford City · League One3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bradford City favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Mansfield Town in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bradford City5 matchesMansfield Town5 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.6 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.14 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 13.6 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match
52.2% ●Possession5/546.2%
7.6 corners/match ●Corners5/53.8 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls5/514.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBradford CityMansfield Town
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headBradford City — Mansfield Town
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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