PitchMath
League One · 2026

Doncaster Rovers 2–3 Plymouth Argyle · League One

2–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Plymouth Argyle won 2–3.

Shots
1717
Shots on target
39
Expected goals
2.332.61
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Plymouth Argyle beat Doncaster Rovers 3–2. Recorded in this match (Doncaster Rovers – Plymouth Argyle): shots 17–17, shots on target 3–9, expected goals 2.33–2.61, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Doncaster Rovers, Plymouth Argyle.

3.8 days ▲Rest daysDoncaster Rovers · Plymouth Argyle3.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricDoncaster RoversPlymouth ArgyleBaseline
Rest days3.8 days3.8 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Doncaster Rovers have recorded the higher season possession share.

50% ●PossessionDoncaster Rovers · Plymouth Argyle40%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDoncaster RoversPlymouth ArgyleBaseline
Possession50%40%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots17 shotsDoncaster Rovers 17 shots, Plymouth Argyle 17 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots9 shotsDoncaster Rovers 3 shots, Plymouth Argyle 9 shots
  • Expected goals2.33 xG2.61 xGDoncaster Rovers 2.33 xG, Plymouth Argyle 2.61 xG
  • Possession55%45%Doncaster Rovers 55%, Plymouth Argyle 45%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersDoncaster Rovers 7 corners, Plymouth Argyle 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsDoncaster Rovers 13 fouls, Plymouth Argyle 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards0 cardsDoncaster Rovers 3 cards, Plymouth Argyle 0 cards
  • Passes388 passes316 passesDoncaster Rovers 388 passes, Plymouth Argyle 316 passes
  • Pass accuracy70.1%68.7%Doncaster Rovers 70.1%, Plymouth Argyle 68.7%
  • Shots inside box13 shots13 shotsDoncaster Rovers 13 shots, Plymouth Argyle 13 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks2 blocksDoncaster Rovers 7 blocks, Plymouth Argyle 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves1 saveDoncaster Rovers 6 saves, Plymouth Argyle 1 save
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesDoncaster Rovers 1 offside, Plymouth Argyle 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 28′Will EvansGoal · Plymouth Argyle
  2. Half-time
  3. 51′Alfie MayPenalty goal · Doncaster Rovers
  4. 71′Neill ByrneYellow card · Doncaster Rovers
  5. 74′Aribim PeppleGoal · Plymouth Argyle
  6. 79′Isaac HutchinsonYellow card · Doncaster Rovers
  7. 83′Caleb WattsGoal · Plymouth Argyle
  8. 86′Jack SeniorYellow card · Doncaster Rovers
  9. 90′Sean GrehanGoal · Doncaster Rovers
  10. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 62′Doncaster Rovers · 1 player changeBayley McCann
  • 63′Plymouth Argyle · 1 player changeCaleb Watts
  • 70′Doncaster Rovers · 1 player changeGeorge Broadbent
  • 72′Plymouth Argyle · 2 player changesOwen Oseni · Bradley Ibrahim
  • 79′Doncaster Rovers · 1 player changeHarry Clifton
  • 79′Doncaster Rovers · 1 player changeLeon Ayinde
  • 82′Plymouth Argyle · 2 player changesAlex Hartridge · Mathias Ross

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Doncaster Rovers4-1-4-1
  1. Tommy SimkinG
  2. Jay McGrathD
  3. Neill ByrneD
  4. Jack SeniorD
  5. Sean GrehanD
  6. Owen BaileyM
  7. Tommi O'ReillyM
  8. Brandon HanlanM
  9. Isaac HutchinsonM
  10. Robbie GottsM
  11. Alfie MayF

Substitutes

  • Josh Clarke
  • James Husband
  • Bayley McCann
  • George Broadbent
  • Harry Clifton
  • Jordan Thomas
  • Leon Ayinde
Plymouth Argyle4-4-2
  1. Murphy CooperG
  2. Julio PleguezueloD
  3. Alex MitchellD
  4. Matthew SorinolaD
  5. Wes HardingD
  6. Harvey WhiteM
  7. Ronan CurtisM
  8. Oliver IrowM
  9. Tyreeq BakinsonM
  10. Will EvansF
  11. Aribim PeppleF

Substitutes

  • James Storer
  • Mathias Ross
  • Joe Edwards
  • Alex Hartridge
  • Caleb Watts
  • Bradley Ibrahim
  • Owen Oseni

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Doncaster Rovers
0Draws
4Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle — Doncaster Rovers · League One2–1
Doncaster Rovers — Plymouth Argyle · League One1–5
Doncaster Rovers — Plymouth Argyle · League One1–3
Plymouth Argyle — Doncaster Rovers · League One2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Doncaster Rovers favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Plymouth Argyle in 7 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Doncaster Rovers5 matchesPlymouth Argyle5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.46 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 14.2 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 4.6 shots/match
50% ●Possession5/540%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/5● 6 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDoncaster RoversPlymouth Argyle
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headDoncaster Rovers — Plymouth Argyle
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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