PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

Karlsruher SC 2–5 VfL Wolfsburg · 2. Bundesliga

2–5Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

VfL Wolfsburg won 2–5.

Shots
1726
Shots on target
511
Expected goals
1.592.98
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Wolfsburg beat Karlsruher SC 5–2. Recorded in this match (Karlsruher SC – VfL Wolfsburg): shots 17–26, shots on target 5–11, expected goals 1.59–2.98, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

9.33 corners/match ●CornersKarlsruher SC · VfL Wolfsburg7.67 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricKarlsruher SCVfL WolfsburgBaseline
Corners9.33 corners/match7.67 corners/match6 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots26 shotsKarlsruher SC 17 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 26 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots11 shotsKarlsruher SC 5 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 11 shots
  • Expected goals1.59 xG2.98 xGKarlsruher SC 1.59 xG, VfL Wolfsburg 2.98 xG
  • Possession42%58%Karlsruher SC 42%, VfL Wolfsburg 58%
  • Corners11 corners8 cornersKarlsruher SC 11 corners, VfL Wolfsburg 8 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls14 foulsKarlsruher SC 13 fouls, VfL Wolfsburg 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardKarlsruher SC 0 cards, VfL Wolfsburg 1 card
  • Passes327 passes474 passesKarlsruher SC 327 passes, VfL Wolfsburg 474 passes
  • Pass accuracy79.2%86.3%Karlsruher SC 79.2%, VfL Wolfsburg 86.3%
  • Shots inside box11 shots18 shotsKarlsruher SC 11 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 18 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks10 blocksKarlsruher SC 4 blocks, VfL Wolfsburg 10 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves3 savesKarlsruher SC 6 saves, VfL Wolfsburg 3 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides0 offsidesKarlsruher SC 3 offsides, VfL Wolfsburg 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 7′Shio FukudaGoal · Karlsruher SC
  2. 10′Alexander BernhardssonGoal · VfL Wolfsburg
  3. 12′Marvin WanitzekGoal · Karlsruher SC
  4. 28′Fabian ReeseGoal · VfL Wolfsburg
  5. 45′Vinícius SouzaGoal · VfL Wolfsburg
  6. Half-time
  7. 80′Vinícius SouzaYellow card · VfL Wolfsburg
  8. 88′Hauke WahlGoal · VfL Wolfsburg
  9. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Karlsruher SC · 1 player changeJohn Davis Meyer
  • 58′Karlsruher SC · 3 player changesDanyal Zor · Noel Eichinger · Lilian Egloff
  • 66′VfL Wolfsburg · 2 player changesMattias Svanberg · Robert Glatzel
  • 72′VfL Wolfsburg · 1 player changeYannick Gerhardt
  • 79′VfL Wolfsburg · 1 player changeAlessio Besio
  • 82′Karlsruher SC · 1 player changePaul Scholl

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Karlsruher SC favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Karlsruher SC3 matchesVfL Wolfsburg3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.98 xG/match
18 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 21 shots/match
6.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 7.67 shots/match
49%Possession3/3● 56.3%
9.33 corners/match ●Corners3/37.67 corners/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls3/313.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKarlsruher SCVfL Wolfsburg
Competition2. Bundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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