PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

VfL Wolfsburg 4–4 Energie Cottbus · 2. Bundesliga

4–4Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

VfL Wolfsburg and Energie Cottbus drew 4–4.

Shots
1921
Shots on target
79
Expected goals
3.823.05
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Wolfsburg and Energie Cottbus drew 4–4. Recorded in this match (VfL Wolfsburg – Energie Cottbus): shots 19–21, shots on target 7–9, expected goals 3.82–3.05, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Wolfsburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

VfL Wolfsburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20.5 shots/match ▲ShotsVfL Wolfsburg · Energie Cottbus16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVfL WolfsburgEnergie CottbusBaseline
Shots20.5 shots/match16.5 shots/match15.2 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match19.3 shots/match15.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.75 corners/matchCornersVfL Wolfsburg · Energie Cottbus● 7.5 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricVfL WolfsburgEnergie CottbusBaseline
Corners6.75 corners/match7.5 corners/match5.71 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots21 shotsVfL Wolfsburg 19 shots, Energie Cottbus 21 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots9 shotsVfL Wolfsburg 7 shots, Energie Cottbus 9 shots
  • Expected goals3.82 xG3.05 xGVfL Wolfsburg 3.82 xG, Energie Cottbus 3.05 xG
  • Possession51%49%VfL Wolfsburg 51%, Energie Cottbus 49%
  • Corners4 corners8 cornersVfL Wolfsburg 4 corners, Energie Cottbus 8 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsVfL Wolfsburg 13 fouls, Energie Cottbus 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsVfL Wolfsburg 3 cards, Energie Cottbus 4 cards
  • Passes404 passes376 passesVfL Wolfsburg 404 passes, Energie Cottbus 376 passes
  • Pass accuracy79.7%80.6%VfL Wolfsburg 79.7%, Energie Cottbus 80.6%
  • Shots inside box12 shots12 shotsVfL Wolfsburg 12 shots, Energie Cottbus 12 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks4 blocksVfL Wolfsburg 4 blocks, Energie Cottbus 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves3 savesVfL Wolfsburg 5 saves, Energie Cottbus 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides3 offsidesVfL Wolfsburg 0 offsides, Energie Cottbus 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 4′Robert GlatzelPenalty goal · VfL Wolfsburg
  2. 6′King ManuYellow card · Energie Cottbus
  3. 25′Vinícius SouzaGoal · VfL Wolfsburg
  4. 34′Robert GlatzelGoal · VfL Wolfsburg
  5. 45′Luca ErleinGoal · Energie Cottbus
  6. Half-time
  7. 49′King ManuGoal · Energie Cottbus
  8. 62′Elvis RexhbeçajYellow card · VfL Wolfsburg
  9. 67′Tolcay CiğerciPenalty goal · Energie Cottbus
  10. 70′Mathys AngelyYellow card · VfL Wolfsburg
  11. 79′Mattias SvanbergGoal · VfL Wolfsburg
  12. 84′Tolcay CiğerciYellow card · Energie Cottbus
  13. 88′Mathys AngelySecond yellow · VfL Wolfsburg
  14. 90′Dmytro BogdanovGoal · Energie Cottbus
  15. 90′Dmytro BogdanovYellow card · Energie Cottbus
  16. 90′Moritz HannemannYellow card · Energie Cottbus
  17. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Energie Cottbus · 3 player changesMoritz Hannemann · Christian Kinsombi · Dmytro Bogdanov
  • 52′VfL Wolfsburg · 1 player changeKento Shiogai
  • 53′VfL Wolfsburg · 1 player changeMuhammed Damar
  • 68′Energie Cottbus · 1 player changeDominik Pelivan
  • 78′VfL Wolfsburg · 2 player changesMattias Svanberg · Alessio Besio
  • 82′Energie Cottbus · 1 player changeJannis Boziaris
  • 86′VfL Wolfsburg · 1 player changeYannick Gerhardt

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

VfL Wolfsburg
  1. Jakub ZielińskiG
  2. Kilian FischerD
  3. Hauke WahlD
  4. Joakim MæhleD
  5. Mathys AngelyD
  6. Vinícius SouzaM
  7. Maximilian ArnoldM
  8. Elvis RexhbeçajM
  9. Fabian ReeseF
  10. Alexander BernhardssonF
  11. Robert GlatzelF
Energie Cottbus
  1. Marcel LotkaG
  2. King ManuD
  3. Henry RorigD
  4. Luca ErleinD
  5. Fousseny DoumbiaD
  6. Lukas MichelbrinkM
  7. Axel BorgmannM
  8. Leonardo BittencourtM
  9. Lucas CopadoF
  10. Tolcay CiğerciF
  11. Justin ButlerF

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Wolfsburg favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Energie Cottbus in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Wolfsburg4 matchesEnergie Cottbus4 matches
2.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/42.5 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/43 goals/match
2.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/42.02 xG/match
20.5 shots/match ▲Shots4/416.5 shots/match
7.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/44.75 shots/match
55% ●Possession4/452%
6.75 corners/matchCorners4/4● 7.5 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls4/413 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL WolfsburgEnergie Cottbus
Competition2. Bundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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