PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

Holstein Kiel 2–2 1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Holstein Kiel and 1. FC Nürnberg drew 2–2.

Shots
1419
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.681.84
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Holstein Kiel and 1. FC Nürnberg drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Holstein Kiel – 1. FC Nürnberg): shots 14–19, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.68–1.84, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots19 shotsHolstein Kiel 14 shots, 1. FC Nürnberg 19 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsHolstein Kiel 3 shots, 1. FC Nürnberg 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.68 xG1.84 xGHolstein Kiel 0.68 xG, 1. FC Nürnberg 1.84 xG
  • Possession44%56%Holstein Kiel 44%, 1. FC Nürnberg 56%
  • Corners10 corners8 cornersHolstein Kiel 10 corners, 1. FC Nürnberg 8 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls14 foulsHolstein Kiel 17 fouls, 1. FC Nürnberg 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards3 cardsHolstein Kiel 4 cards, 1. FC Nürnberg 3 cards
  • Passes331 passes431 passesHolstein Kiel 331 passes, 1. FC Nürnberg 431 passes
  • Pass accuracy78.9%79.8%Holstein Kiel 78.9%, 1. FC Nürnberg 79.8%
  • Shots inside box9 shots13 shotsHolstein Kiel 9 shots, 1. FC Nürnberg 13 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks3 blocksHolstein Kiel 7 blocks, 1. FC Nürnberg 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves1 saveHolstein Kiel 4 saves, 1. FC Nürnberg 1 save
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideHolstein Kiel 1 offside, 1. FC Nürnberg 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 12′Adrián KaprálikYellow card · Holstein Kiel
  2. 16′David ZecYellow card · Holstein Kiel
  3. 34′Eric PorstnerYellow card · 1. FC Nürnberg
  4. 36′Guillermo BalziYellow card · Holstein Kiel
  5. 41′Adam MarkhievGoal · 1. FC Nürnberg
  6. 45′Phil HarresGoal · Holstein Kiel
  7. Half-time
  8. 50′Adrián KaprálikGoal · Holstein Kiel
  9. 56′Piet ScobelGoal · 1. FC Nürnberg
  10. 65′Leon ParduziYellow card · Holstein Kiel
  11. 77′Rafael LubachYellow card · 1. FC Nürnberg
  12. 83′Mohamed Ali ZomaYellow card · 1. FC Nürnberg
  13. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 63′1. FC Nürnberg · 2 player changesRafael Lubach · William Bøving
  • 63′Holstein Kiel · 2 player changesLeon Parduzi · Gyan de Regt
  • 72′1. FC Nürnberg · 1 player changeGiannis Masouras
  • 79′Holstein Kiel · 1 player changeTayar Tasdelen
  • 85′1. FC Nürnberg · 2 player changesRayan Ghrieb · Sigurd Haugen

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Holstein Kiel
  1. Timon WeinerG
  2. Ivan NekićD
  3. David ZecD
  4. Hiroki SekineD
  5. John TolkinD
  6. Guillermo BalziM
  7. Jonas TherkelsenM
  8. Kasper DavidsenM
  9. Adrián KaprálikM
  10. Jonas MeffertM
  11. Phil HarresF
1. FC Nürnberg
  1. Jan ReichertG
  2. Alexios KalogeropoulosD
  3. Fynn OttoD
  4. Tim JanischD
  5. Eric PorstnerD
  6. Adam MarkhievM
  7. Javier FernandezM
  8. Finn Ole BeckerM
  9. Julian JustvanF
  10. Piet ScobelF
  11. Mohamed Ali ZomaF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Holstein Kiel
1Draws
21. FC Nürnberg
Holstein Kiel — 1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga2–3
1. FC Nürnberg — Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga1–1
1. FC Nürnberg — Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga0–4
Holstein Kiel — 1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga0–2
Holstein Kiel — 1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Holstein Kiel favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · 1. FC Nürnberg in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Holstein Kiel4 matches1. FC Nürnberg4 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 3.25 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.57 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.6 xG/match
14.5 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 15.8 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 7.25 shots/match
55.5% ●Possession4/455.3%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners4/44.75 corners/match
16 fouls/matchFouls4/411 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHolstein Kiel1. FC Nürnberg
Competition2. Bundesliga
Head-to-headHolstein Kiel — 1. FC Nürnberg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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