PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

1. FC Magdeburg 2–0 Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

1. FC Magdeburg won 2–0.

Shots
1014
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
0.832.11
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Magdeburg beat Holstein Kiel 2–0. Recorded in this match (1. FC Magdeburg – Holstein Kiel): shots 10–14, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 0.83–2.11, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Magdeburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

1. FC Magdeburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲Shots1. FC Magdeburg · Holstein Kiel14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1. FC MagdeburgHolstein KielBaseline
Shots13 shots/match14.7 shots/match15.2 shots/match
Shots against16.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match16.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Holstein Kiel have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.7%Possession1. FC Magdeburg · Holstein Kiel● 59.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.7 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric1. FC MagdeburgHolstein KielBaseline
Possession47.7%59.3%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13 fouls/matchFouls1. FC Magdeburg · Holstein Kiel15.7 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric1. FC MagdeburgHolstein KielBaseline
Fouls13 fouls/match15.7 fouls/match11.7 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots14 shots1. FC Magdeburg 10 shots, Holstein Kiel 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shots1. FC Magdeburg 2 shots, Holstein Kiel 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.83 xG2.11 xG1. FC Magdeburg 0.83 xG, Holstein Kiel 2.11 xG
  • Possession36%64%1. FC Magdeburg 36%, Holstein Kiel 64%
  • Corners3 corners3 corners1. FC Magdeburg 3 corners, Holstein Kiel 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls17 fouls1. FC Magdeburg 14 fouls, Holstein Kiel 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards4 cards1. FC Magdeburg 5 cards, Holstein Kiel 4 cards
  • Passes303 passes548 passes1. FC Magdeburg 303 passes, Holstein Kiel 548 passes
  • Pass accuracy79.5%86.9%1. FC Magdeburg 79.5%, Holstein Kiel 86.9%
  • Shots inside box6 shots9 shots1. FC Magdeburg 6 shots, Holstein Kiel 9 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks3 blocks1. FC Magdeburg 2 blocks, Holstein Kiel 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves1 save1. FC Magdeburg 2 saves, Holstein Kiel 1 save
  • Offsides3 offsides0 offsides1. FC Magdeburg 3 offsides, Holstein Kiel 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 6′Alexander NollenbergerYellow card · 1. FC Magdeburg
  2. 20′Jonas TherkelsenYellow card · Holstein Kiel
  3. 28′Barış AtikYellow card · 1. FC Magdeburg
  4. 31′Pierre NadjombeYellow card · 1. FC Magdeburg
  5. 44′Kasper DavidsenYellow card · Holstein Kiel
  6. Half-time
  7. 47′Anselmo Garcia McNultyYellow card · 1. FC Magdeburg
  8. 54′Jonas MeffertYellow card · Holstein Kiel
  9. 64′Tobias MüllerYellow card · 1. FC Magdeburg
  10. 72′Mateusz ŻukowskiGoal · 1. FC Magdeburg
  11. 81′Luka HyryläinenGoal · 1. FC Magdeburg
  12. 84′Ivan NekićYellow card · Holstein Kiel
  13. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 46′1. FC Magdeburg · 1 player changeTorben Müsel
  • 64′Holstein Kiel · 1 player changeGyan de Regt
  • 75′1. FC Magdeburg · 1 player changeMagnus Baars
  • 79′Holstein Kiel · 1 player changeNiko Takahashi
  • 85′Holstein Kiel · 1 player changeFaride Alidou
  • 86′1. FC Magdeburg · 1 player changeEldin Džogović
  • 90′1. FC Magdeburg · 2 player changesRoko Šimić · Richmond Tachie

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

31. FC Magdeburg
2Draws
0Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel — 1. FC Magdeburg · 2. Bundesliga1–3
1. FC Magdeburg — Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga3–3
1. FC Magdeburg — Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga1–1
Holstein Kiel — 1. FC Magdeburg · 2. Bundesliga2–4
Holstein Kiel — 1. FC Magdeburg · 2. Bundesliga2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Magdeburg favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Holstein Kiel in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Magdeburg3 matchesHolstein Kiel3 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/31.33 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/32 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.87 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 14.7 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 4.67 shots/match
47.7%Possession3/3● 59.3%
6 corners/match ●Corners3/34 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls3/315.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC MagdeburgHolstein Kiel
Competition2. Bundesliga
Head-to-head1. FC Magdeburg — Holstein Kiel
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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