Energie Cottbus
2. Bundesliga · 2026Energie Cottbus 3–4 SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 3–4.
- Shots
- 23–14
- Shots on target
- 6–7
- Expected goals
- 3.07–1.93
- Possession
- 54%–46%
Full time
What the match recorded
SpVgg Greuther Fürth beat Energie Cottbus 4–3. Recorded in this match (Energie Cottbus – SpVgg Greuther Fürth): shots 23–14, shots on target 6–7, expected goals 3.07–1.93, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
The teams have contrasting possession records
weakEnergie Cottbus have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.0 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Energie Cottbus | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 53% | 44% | 50.5% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
As it happened
Key moments
- 7′Lucas CopadoGoal · Energie Cottbus
- 45′Felix KlausPenalty goal · SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- Half-time
- 46′Fousseny DoumbiaGoal · Energie Cottbus
- 50′Jannis HeuerYellow card · SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- 54′Jannis BoziarisYellow card · Energie Cottbus
- 70′Tolcay CiğerciGoal · Energie Cottbus
- 72′Ole PohlmannGoal · SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- 77′King ManuYellow card · Energie Cottbus
- 80′Felix KlausGoal · SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- 84′Doni ArifiYellow card · SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- 90′Dmytro BogdanovGoal · Energie Cottbus
- Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
- 46′Energie Cottbus · 2 player changesTolcay Ciğerci · Henry Rorig
- 55′Energie Cottbus · 1 player changeTim Campulka
- 66′SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 1 player changeOmar Sillah
- 67′Energie Cottbus · 1 player changeJustin Butler
- 73′SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 1 player changeLukas Reich
- 79′Energie Cottbus · 1 player changeDmytro Bogdanov
- 83′SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2 player changesAaron Keller · Doni Arifi
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Energie Cottbus favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 0 · 13 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
Energie Cottbus / SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
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