PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

1. FC Nürnberg 4–1 Arminia Bielefeld · 2. Bundesliga

4–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

1. FC Nürnberg won 4–1.

Shots
1321
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
0.941.19
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Nürnberg beat Arminia Bielefeld 4–1. Recorded in this match (1. FC Nürnberg – Arminia Bielefeld): shots 13–21, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 0.94–1.19, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

1. FC Nürnberg have recorded the higher season possession share.

55% ●Possession1. FC Nürnberg · Arminia Bielefeld43.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric1. FC NürnbergArminia BielefeldBaseline
Possession55%43.7%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots21 shots1. FC Nürnberg 13 shots, Arminia Bielefeld 21 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shots1. FC Nürnberg 6 shots, Arminia Bielefeld 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.94 xG1.19 xG1. FC Nürnberg 0.94 xG, Arminia Bielefeld 1.19 xG
  • Possession53%47%1. FC Nürnberg 53%, Arminia Bielefeld 47%
  • Corners3 corners8 corners1. FC Nürnberg 3 corners, Arminia Bielefeld 8 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls11 fouls1. FC Nürnberg 9 fouls, Arminia Bielefeld 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cards1. FC Nürnberg 2 cards, Arminia Bielefeld 0 cards
  • Passes455 passes371 passes1. FC Nürnberg 455 passes, Arminia Bielefeld 371 passes
  • Pass accuracy85.9%80.1%1. FC Nürnberg 85.9%, Arminia Bielefeld 80.1%
  • Shots inside box10 shots12 shots1. FC Nürnberg 10 shots, Arminia Bielefeld 12 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks7 blocks1. FC Nürnberg 5 blocks, Arminia Bielefeld 7 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves2 saves1. FC Nürnberg 4 saves, Arminia Bielefeld 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsides1. FC Nürnberg 1 offside, Arminia Bielefeld 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 11′Mohamed Ali ZomaGoal · 1. FC Nürnberg
  2. 22′Tim JanischGoal · 1. FC Nürnberg
  3. 38′Adam MarkhievGoal · 1. FC Nürnberg
  4. 45′Kristian MandicYellow card · 1. FC Nürnberg
  5. Half-time
  6. 60′Mohamed Ali ZomaYellow card · 1. FC Nürnberg
  7. 67′Adam MarkhievGoal · 1. FC Nürnberg
  8. 76′Marius WörlGoal · Arminia Bielefeld
  9. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Arminia Bielefeld · 1 player changeMarius Wörl
  • 57′Arminia Bielefeld · 1 player changeBenjamin Boakye
  • 63′1. FC Nürnberg · 1 player changeRafael Lubach
  • 70′1. FC Nürnberg · 2 player changesGiannis Masouras · Sigurd Haugen
  • 71′Arminia Bielefeld · 2 player changesRoberts Uldriķis · Till Wegener
  • 83′1. FC Nürnberg · 1 player changeMarko Soldic
  • 83′Arminia Bielefeld · 1 player changeIsaiah Young
  • 83′1. FC Nürnberg · 1 player changeRayan Ghrieb

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

21. FC Nürnberg
2Draws
0Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld — 1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga1–1
1. FC Nürnberg — Arminia Bielefeld · 2. Bundesliga2–0
Arminia Bielefeld — 1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga2–2
1. FC Nürnberg — Arminia Bielefeld · 2. Bundesliga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Nürnberg favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Arminia Bielefeld in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Nürnberg3 matchesArminia Bielefeld3 matches
3.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/31.67 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match
1.52 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.98 xG/match
14.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 16.3 shots/match
7.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/35 shots/match
55% ●Possession3/343.7%
3.67 corners/matchCorners3/3● 7 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls3/311.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in 2. Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC NürnbergArminia Bielefeld
Competition2. Bundesliga
Head-to-head1. FC Nürnberg — Arminia Bielefeld
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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