PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Brentford 3–0 Chelsea · Premier League

3–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Brentford won 3–0.

Shots
1312
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
2.650.85
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Brentford beat Chelsea 3–0. Recorded in this match (Brentford – Chelsea): shots 13–12, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 2.65–0.85, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brentford show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Brentford's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsBrentford · Chelsea14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBrentfordChelseaBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots12 shotsBrentford 13 shots, Chelsea 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsBrentford 6 shots, Chelsea 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.65 xG0.85 xGBrentford 2.65 xG, Chelsea 0.85 xG
  • Possession41%59%Brentford 41%, Chelsea 59%
  • Corners4 corners12 cornersBrentford 4 corners, Chelsea 12 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls7 foulsBrentford 10 fouls, Chelsea 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsBrentford 2 cards, Chelsea 0 cards
  • Passes344 passes497 passesBrentford 344 passes, Chelsea 497 passes
  • Pass accuracy79.7%86.5%Brentford 79.7%, Chelsea 86.5%
  • Shots inside box9 shots8 shotsBrentford 9 shots, Chelsea 8 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks7 blocksBrentford 4 blocks, Chelsea 7 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesBrentford 2 saves, Chelsea 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesBrentford 2 offsides, Chelsea 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. Half-time
  2. 61′Jaidon AnthonyGoal · Brentford
  3. 83′Igor ThiagoGoal · Brentford
  4. 84′Igor ThiagoYellow card · Brentford
  5. 85′Mamadou SangareYellow card · Brentford
  6. 90′Fabio CarvalhoGoal · Brentford
  7. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 69′Brentford · 2 player changesMamadou Sangare · Aaron Hickey
  • 71′Chelsea · 2 player changesJosh Acheampong · Geovany Quenda
  • 81′Brentford · 2 player changesEl Hadji Malick Diouf · Dango Ouattara
  • 87′Chelsea · 1 player changeMahdi Nicoll-Jazuli
  • 87′Brentford · 1 player changeFabio Carvalho
  • 87′Chelsea · 1 player changeEstêvão

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Brentford4-2-3-1
  1. Caoimhin KelleherG
  2. Aaron HickeyD
  3. Kristoffer AjerD
  4. Keane Lewis-PotterD
  5. Jannik SchusterD
  6. Yehor YarmoliukM
  7. Mamadou SangareM
  8. Vitaly JaneltM
  9. Kevin SchadeF
  10. Igor ThiagoF
  11. Jaidon AnthonyF
Chelsea3-4-2-1
  1. Emiliano MartínezG
  2. Wesley FofanaD
  3. Maxence LacroixD
  4. Levi ColwillD
  5. Pedro NetoD
  6. Pep ChavarríaD
  7. Reece JamesM
  8. Roméo LaviaM
  9. Cole PalmerF
  10. Morgan RogersF
  11. Danny WelbeckF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Brentford
3Draws
2Chelsea
Chelsea — Brentford · Premier League2–0
Brentford — Chelsea · Premier League2–2
Brentford — Chelsea · Premier League0–0
Chelsea — Brentford · Premier League2–1
Brentford — Chelsea · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brentford favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Chelsea in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brentford5 matchesChelsea5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
1.97 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.36 xG/match
16.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/514.4 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 5.2 shots/match
45.2%Possession5/5● 47.4%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/5● 6.6 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/58.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 18 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBrentfordChelsea
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headBrentford — Chelsea
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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