PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Chelsea 2–2 Hull City · Premier League

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Chelsea and Hull City drew 2–2.

Shots
1214
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
0.911.38
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chelsea and Hull City drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Chelsea – Hull City): shots 12–14, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 0.91–1.38, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Chelsea have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.5% ●PossessionChelsea · Hull City29.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricChelseaHull CityBaseline
Possession44.5%29.5%47.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Hull City show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Hull City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsChelsea · Hull City9.75 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricChelseaHull CityBaseline
Shots15 shots/match9.75 shots/match14.4 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots14 shotsChelsea 12 shots, Hull City 14 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsChelsea 7 shots, Hull City 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.91 xG1.38 xGChelsea 0.91 xG, Hull City 1.38 xG
  • Possession68%32%Chelsea 68%, Hull City 32%
  • Corners10 corners4 cornersChelsea 10 corners, Hull City 4 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls12 foulsChelsea 7 fouls, Hull City 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card5 cardsChelsea 1 card, Hull City 5 cards
  • Passes577 passes265 passesChelsea 577 passes, Hull City 265 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.2%70.2%Chelsea 87.2%, Hull City 70.2%
  • Shots inside box6 shots9 shotsChelsea 6 shots, Hull City 9 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block4 blocksChelsea 1 block, Hull City 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves5 savesChelsea 3 saves, Hull City 5 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideChelsea 1 offside, Hull City 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 7′Morgan RogersGoal · Chelsea
  2. 17′Oli McBurnieYellow card · Hull City
  3. 28′Mohamed BelloumiGoal · Hull City
  4. 34′Mohamed BelloumiGoal · Hull City
  5. Half-time
  6. 50′John EganYellow card · Hull City
  7. 52′Matt CrooksYellow card · Hull City
  8. 66′João PedroGoal · Chelsea
  9. 80′Valentín BarcoYellow card · Chelsea
  10. 88′Tim IroegbunamYellow card · Hull City
  11. 90′Brooke Norton-CuffyYellow card · Hull City
  12. Full time
Player changes · 11grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Chelsea · 1 player changePep Chavarría
  • 59′Hull City · 1 player changeLucas Herrington
  • 60′Hull City · 2 player changesSorba Thomas · Mohamed Ali Cho
  • 69′Hull City · 1 player changeTim Iroegbunam
  • 70′Chelsea · 1 player changeValentín Barco
  • 78′Chelsea · 1 player changeDanny Welbeck
  • 82′Hull City · 2 player changesRobinio Vaz · Brooke Norton-Cuffy
  • 86′Chelsea · 2 player changesMaxence Lacroix · Estêvão

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Chelsea3-4-2-1
  1. Emiliano MartínezG
  2. Wesley FofanaD
  3. Maxence LacroixD
  4. Pedro NetoD
  5. Jorrel HatoD
  6. Josh AcheampongD
  7. Reece JamesM
  8. Roméo LaviaM
  9. Cole PalmerF
  10. Morgan RogersF
  11. João PedroF
Hull City5-4-1
  1. Konstantinos TzolakisG
  2. Lewie CoyleD
  3. Ryan GilesD
  4. Semi AjayiD
  5. John EganD
  6. Nobel MendyD
  7. Regan SlaterM
  8. Lucas Gourna-DouathM
  9. Oli McBurnieF
  10. Mohamed BelloumiF
  11. Elliot StroudF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Chelsea
0Draws
0Hull City
Hull City — Chelsea · FA Cup0–4

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chelsea favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Hull City in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chelsea4 matchesHull City4 matches
2.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41.25 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 0.5 goals/match
1.48 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.99 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots4/49.75 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/43.75 shots/match
44.5% ●Possession4/429.5%
5.25 corners/match ●Corners4/42.5 corners/match
9 fouls/matchFouls4/410 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChelseaHull City
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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