30-second read
What the record shows
The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.
1Arsenal
1Draws
0Chelsea
Arsenal — Chelsea · Premier League2–1
Chelsea — Arsenal · Premier League1–1
Season-opening preview
Current-season evidence is still building.
This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.
0 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade
Previous-season context
Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.
Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.
Arsenal
- Competition
- Premier League
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 38 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored1.87 goals/match
- Goals allowed0.71 goals/match
- Expected goals1.85 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed0.95 xG/match
- Shots14.5 shots/match
- Shots allowed8.11 shots/match
- Shots on target4.89 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed2.37 shots/match
- Possession56.2%
- Corners5.66 corners/match
- Corners allowed3.29 corners/match
- Cards1.33 cards/match
- Fouls10.2 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency50%
- Scoring frequency92%
Chelsea
- Competition
- Premier League
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 38 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored1.53 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.37 goals/match
- Expected goals1.06 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.46 xG/match
- Shots13.4 shots/match
- Shots allowed10.9 shots/match
- Shots on target4.37 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.21 shots/match
- Possession57.7%
- Corners5.95 corners/match
- Corners allowed4.29 corners/match
- Cards2.87 cards/match
- Fouls11 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency24%
- Scoring frequency82%
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples0 / 0home / away teams
Recent samples0 / 0last-five windows
FreshnessUnavailablestale at cutoff
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
- At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
- The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Arsenal
Sunderland
Hull City
Everton
Manchester United
Aston Villa