PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Everton 2–2 Manchester United · Premier League

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Everton and Manchester United drew 2–2.

Shots
1814
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.010.72
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Everton and Manchester United drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Everton – Manchester United): shots 18–14, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.01–0.72, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsEverton · Manchester United22.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEvertonManchester UnitedBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match22.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match11.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Manchester United have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.7%PossessionEverton · Manchester United● 62.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEvertonManchester UnitedBaseline
Possession42.7%62.3%46.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5 corners/matchCornersEverton · Manchester United● 5.67 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricEvertonManchester UnitedBaseline
Corners5 corners/match5.67 corners/match4.33 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots14 shotsEverton 18 shots, Manchester United 14 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsEverton 6 shots, Manchester United 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.01 xG0.72 xGEverton 1.01 xG, Manchester United 0.72 xG
  • Possession45%55%Everton 45%, Manchester United 55%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersEverton 4 corners, Manchester United 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls11 foulsEverton 7 fouls, Manchester United 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsEverton 3 cards, Manchester United 3 cards
  • Passes420 passes524 passesEverton 420 passes, Manchester United 524 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.2%86.8%Everton 86.2%, Manchester United 86.8%
  • Shots inside box14 shots6 shotsEverton 14 shots, Manchester United 6 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks6 blocksEverton 7 blocks, Manchester United 6 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save4 savesEverton 1 save, Manchester United 4 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideEverton 3 offsides, Manchester United 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 13′Harrison ArmstrongYellow card · Everton
  2. 34′Brennan JohnsonYellow card · Everton
  3. Half-time
  4. 47′Bryan MbeumoGoal · Manchester United
  5. 62′Luke ShawYellow card · Manchester United
  6. 64′Merlin RöhlYellow card · Everton
  7. 79′Harry MaguireYellow card · Manchester United
  8. 81′Diogo DalotYellow card · Manchester United
  9. 83′Tyrique GeorgeGoal · Everton
  10. 88′Benjamin ŠeškoGoal · Manchester United
  11. 90′Ainsley Maitland-NilesGoal · Everton
  12. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 66′Everton · 1 player changeJack Grealish
  • 70′Manchester United · 2 player changesBenjamin Šeško · Patrick Dorgu
  • 75′Everton · 1 player changeHayden Hackney
  • 77′Everton · 1 player changeAinsley Maitland-Niles
  • 84′Manchester United · 2 player changesLeny Yoro · Andrey Santos
  • 90′Manchester United · 1 player changeNoussair Mazraoui

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Everton4-2-3-1
  1. Jordan PickfordG
  2. James TarkowskiD
  3. Vitaliy MykolenkoD
  4. Jarrad BranthwaiteD
  5. Merlin RöhlD
  6. Kiernan Dewsbury-HallM
  7. James GarnerM
  8. Harrison ArmstrongM
  9. Thierno BarryF
  10. Tyrique GeorgeF
  11. Brennan JohnsonF
Manchester United4-2-3-1
  1. Senne LammensG
  2. Diogo DalotD
  3. Harry MaguireD
  4. Lisandro MartínezD
  5. Luke ShawD
  6. Bruno FernandesM
  7. Youri TielemansM
  8. Kobbie MainooM
  9. Matheus CunhaF
  10. Marcus RashfordF
  11. Bryan MbeumoF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Everton
1Draws
3Manchester United
Everton — Manchester United · Premier League0–1
Manchester United — Everton · Premier League0–1
Everton — Manchester United · Premier League2–2
Manchester United — Everton · Premier League4–0
Manchester United — Everton · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Everton favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Manchester United in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Everton3 matchesManchester United3 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2.33 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 2.36 xG/match
15.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 22.7 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 6.33 shots/match
42.7%Possession3/3● 62.3%
5 corners/matchCorners3/3● 5.67 corners/match
8.67 fouls/matchFouls3/39 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEvertonManchester United
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headEverton — Manchester United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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