PitchMath
La Liga · 2026

Elche 2–3 Real Madrid · La Liga

Elche

DLLLD
2–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 2–3.

Shots
1120
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.853.56
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Elche 3–2. Recorded in this match (Elche – Real Madrid): shots 11–20, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.85–3.56, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsElche · Real Madrid20.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricElcheReal MadridBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match20.7 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match11.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Elche, Real Madrid.

3.12 days ▲Rest daysElche · Real Madrid3.02 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricElcheReal MadridBaseline
Rest days3.12 days3.02 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots20 shotsElche 11 shots, Real Madrid 20 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsElche 3 shots, Real Madrid 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.85 xG3.56 xGElche 0.85 xG, Real Madrid 3.56 xG
  • Possession56%44%Elche 56%, Real Madrid 44%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersElche 2 corners, Real Madrid 5 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls8 foulsElche 21 fouls, Real Madrid 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsElche 4 cards, Real Madrid 2 cards
  • Passes543 passes430 passesElche 543 passes, Real Madrid 430 passes
  • Pass accuracy90.8%89.1%Elche 90.8%, Real Madrid 89.1%
  • Shots inside box7 shots15 shotsElche 7 shots, Real Madrid 15 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks5 blocksElche 2 blocks, Real Madrid 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves1 saveElche 2 saves, Real Madrid 1 save
  • Offsides1 offside5 offsidesElche 1 offside, Real Madrid 5 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 4′Yan DiomandeYellow card · Real Madrid
  2. 25′Matías DituroGoal · Elche
  3. 31′Marc AguadoYellow card · Elche
  4. 33′Kylian MbappéGoal · Real Madrid
  5. Half-time
  6. 71′Abiel OsorioGoal · Elche
  7. 73′Ibrahima KonatéYellow card · Real Madrid
  8. 78′Lucas CepedaYellow card · Elche
  9. 83′Fernando NiñoGoal · Elche
  10. 90′Carlos EspíGoal · Real Madrid
  11. 90′JosanYellow card · Elche
  12. 90′Gonzalo VillarYellow card · Elche
  13. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 58′Elche · 2 player changesLucas Cepeda · Thomas Lemar
  • 68′Elche · 1 player changeRubén Sánchez
  • 68′Real Madrid · 2 player changesJude Bellingham · Brahim Díaz
  • 69′Elche · 1 player changeFernando Niño
  • 80′Elche · 1 player changeJosan
  • 86′Real Madrid · 1 player changeEndrick
  • 87′Real Madrid · 1 player changeCarlos Espí
  • 90′Real Madrid · 1 player changeDenzel Dumfries

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Elche3-4-2-1
  1. Matías DituroG
  2. Buba SangaréD
  3. Roy RevivoD
  4. Federico RedondoD
  5. Rubén SánchezD
  6. Víctor ChustD
  7. Gonzalo VillarM
  8. Javi MorcilloM
  9. Facundo BuonanotteF
  10. Germán ValeraF
  11. Abiel OsorioF
Real Madrid4-2-3-1
  1. Thibaut CourtoisG
  2. Dean HuijsenD
  3. Trent Alexander-ArnoldD
  4. Marc CucurellaD
  5. Antonio RüdigerD
  6. Jude BellinghamM
  7. Eduardo CamavingaM
  8. Bernardo SilvaM
  9. Vinícius JúniorF
  10. Kylian MbappéF
  11. Arda GülerF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Elche
2Draws
3Real Madrid
Real Madrid — Elche · La Liga4–1
Elche — Real Madrid · La Liga2–2
Real Madrid — Elche · La Liga4–0
Elche — Real Madrid · La Liga0–3
Real Madrid — Elche · La Liga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Elche favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 11 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Elche6 matchesReal Madrid6 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 2.83 goals/match
2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1 goal/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 2.98 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 20.7 shots/match
4.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 8.33 shots/match
52.5%Possession6/6● 54.8%
4.67 corners/matchCorners6/6● 7.83 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls6/68.83 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 15 Sept 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsElcheReal Madrid
CompetitionLa Liga
Head-to-headElche — Real Madrid
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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