PitchMath
La Liga · 2026

Deportivo Alavés 0–1 Valencia · La Liga

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Valencia won 0–1.

Shots
1510
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.050.65
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Valencia beat Deportivo Alavés 1–0. Recorded in this match (Deportivo Alavés – Valencia): shots 15–10, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.05–0.65, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Deportivo Alavés, Valencia.

3.25 days ▲Rest daysDeportivo Alavés · Valencia3.96 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricDeportivo AlavésValenciaBaseline
Rest days3.25 days3.96 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Valencia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Valencia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsDeportivo Alavés · Valencia8.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo AlavésValenciaBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match8.67 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against10.2 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

weak

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.33 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots10 shotsDeportivo Alavés 15 shots, Valencia 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsDeportivo Alavés 3 shots, Valencia 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.05 xG0.65 xGDeportivo Alavés 1.05 xG, Valencia 0.65 xG
  • Possession43%57%Deportivo Alavés 43%, Valencia 57%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersDeportivo Alavés 2 corners, Valencia 5 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls14 foulsDeportivo Alavés 7 fouls, Valencia 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsDeportivo Alavés 1 card, Valencia 4 cards
  • Passes344 passes475 passesDeportivo Alavés 344 passes, Valencia 475 passes
  • Pass accuracy78.8%81.9%Deportivo Alavés 78.8%, Valencia 81.9%
  • Shots inside box11 shots5 shotsDeportivo Alavés 11 shots, Valencia 5 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks5 blocksDeportivo Alavés 4 blocks, Valencia 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesDeportivo Alavés 2 saves, Valencia 3 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides4 offsidesDeportivo Alavés 3 offsides, Valencia 4 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 17′Arnaut DanjumaGoal · Valencia
  2. 21′Antonio BlancoYellow card · Deportivo Alavés
  3. 21′Javier GuerraYellow card · Valencia
  4. 45′PepeluYellow card · Valencia
  5. Half-time
  6. 52′Aaron MayolYellow card · Valencia
  7. 61′Guido RodríguezYellow card · Valencia
  8. 78′Luis RiojaGoal · Valencia
  9. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 63′Valencia · 1 player changeLuis Rioja
  • 67′Deportivo Alavés · 2 player changesMariano Díaz · Youssef Enriquez
  • 70′Valencia · 1 player changeDavid Otorbi
  • 82′Valencia · 3 player changesJesús Vázquez · Arnau Martínez · Iker Cordoba
  • 85′Deportivo Alavés · 3 player changesMiguel Rodríguez · Ander Guevara · Carles Aleñá

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Deportivo Alavés3-5-2
  1. Antonio SiveraG
  2. Ángel PérezD
  3. Nahuel TenagliaD
  4. Ville KoskiD
  5. Jonny OttoD
  6. Abderrahman RebbachD
  7. Antonio BlancoM
  8. Carles AleñáM
  9. Pablo IbáñezM
  10. Toni MartínezF
  11. Lucas BoyéF
Valencia4-4-2
  1. Stole DimitrievskiG
  2. Justin De HaasD
  3. Jesús VázquezD
  4. Arnau MartínezD
  5. Iker CordobaD
  6. Javier GuerraM
  7. Filip UgrinićM
  8. David OtorbiM
  9. Ryunosuke SatoM
  10. Hugo DuroF
  11. Harvey ElliottF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Deportivo Alavés
2Draws
1Valencia
Valencia — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga3–2
Deportivo Alavés — Valencia · La Liga0–0
Deportivo Alavés — Valencia · La Liga1–0
Valencia — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga2–2
Valencia — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Alavés favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Valencia in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Alavés6 matchesValencia6 matches
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.33 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.67 goals/match
1.51 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/60.74 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots6/68.67 shots/match
5.17 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/62.33 shots/match
44%Possession6/6● 46.5%
4.83 corners/match ●Corners6/64 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls6/610.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 15 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo AlavésValencia
CompetitionLa Liga
Head-to-headDeportivo Alavés — Valencia
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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