PitchMath
La Liga · 2026

Sevilla 1–0 Valencia · La Liga

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sevilla won 1–0.

Shots
133
Shots on target
40
Expected goals
1.20.08
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sevilla beat Valencia 1–0. Recorded in this match (Sevilla – Valencia): shots 13–3, shots on target 4–0, expected goals 1.2–0.08, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sevilla have a visible home split

weak

Sevilla's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match12 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Valencia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Valencia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsSevilla · Valencia8.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSevillaValenciaBaseline
Shots12 shots/match8.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against10.2 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots3 shotsSevilla 13 shots, Valencia 3 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots0 shotsSevilla 4 shots, Valencia 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.2 xG0.08 xGSevilla 1.2 xG, Valencia 0.08 xG
  • Possession46%54%Sevilla 46%, Valencia 54%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersSevilla 6 corners, Valencia 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsSevilla 8 fouls, Valencia 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsSevilla 1 card, Valencia 2 cards
  • Passes347 passes428 passesSevilla 347 passes, Valencia 428 passes
  • Pass accuracy79.5%81.8%Sevilla 79.5%, Valencia 81.8%
  • Shots inside box8 shots1 shotSevilla 8 shots, Valencia 1 shot
  • Blocked shots4 blocks1 blockSevilla 4 blocks, Valencia 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves3 savesSevilla 0 saves, Valencia 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideSevilla 2 offsides, Valencia 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 27′Ryunosuke SatoYellow card · Valencia
  2. Half-time
  3. 67′Chidera EjukeYellow card · Sevilla
  4. 81′Juan IglesiasGoal · Sevilla
  5. 89′Pablo MaffeoYellow card · Valencia
  6. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 24′Valencia · 1 player changeIker Cordoba
  • 62′Valencia · 2 player changesHarvey Elliott · Pablo Maffeo
  • 63′Sevilla · 2 player changesChidera Ejuke · Robbie Ure
  • 71′Sevilla · 1 player changeGiorgi Kochorashvili
  • 83′Valencia · 2 player changesJesús Vázquez · Hugo Duro
  • 83′Sevilla · 1 player changeJon Guridi
  • 84′Sevilla · 1 player changeJulio Díaz

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Sevilla4-2-3-1
  1. Odysseas VlachodimosG
  2. Juan IglesiasD
  3. Kike SalasD
  4. Andrés CastrinD
  5. Gabriel SuazoD
  6. Lucien AgouméM
  7. Jon GuridiM
  8. Youssouf FofanaM
  9. Robbie UreF
  10. Félix CorreiaF
  11. Miguel SierraF
Valencia4-2-3-1
  1. Stole DimitrievskiG
  2. César TárregaD
  3. José Luis GayàD
  4. PepeluD
  5. Arnau MartínezD
  6. Javier GuerraM
  7. Harvey ElliottM
  8. Filip UgrinićM
  9. Hugo DuroF
  10. David OtorbiF
  11. Ryunosuke SatoF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sevilla
3Draws
2Valencia
Sevilla — Valencia · La Liga0–2
Valencia — Sevilla · La Liga1–1
Valencia — Sevilla · La Liga1–0
Sevilla — Valencia · La Liga1–1
Valencia — Sevilla · La Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sevilla favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Valencia in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sevilla5 matchesValencia5 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.2 goals/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.07 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.76 xG/match
12 shots/match ▲Shots5/58.4 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/52.2 shots/match
43.2%Possession5/5● 44.4%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/5● 3.8 corners/match
15 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 11 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSevillaValencia
CompetitionLa Liga
Head-to-headSevilla — Valencia
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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