PitchMath
La Liga · 2026

Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Espanyol · La Liga

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Rayo Vallecano won 2–1.

Shots
1619
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
1.521.49
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rayo Vallecano beat Espanyol 2–1. Recorded in this match (Rayo Vallecano – Espanyol): shots 16–19, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.52–1.49, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Rayo Vallecano, Espanyol.

2.92 days ▲Rest daysRayo Vallecano · Espanyol3.11 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricRayo VallecanoEspanyolBaseline
Rest days2.92 days3.11 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Espanyol's recent record differs from the season

weak

Espanyol's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Espanyol show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Espanyol's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsRayo Vallecano · Espanyol12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoEspanyolBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match12 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against17.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots19 shotsRayo Vallecano 16 shots, Espanyol 19 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsRayo Vallecano 2 shots, Espanyol 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.52 xG1.49 xGRayo Vallecano 1.52 xG, Espanyol 1.49 xG
  • Possession55%45%Rayo Vallecano 55%, Espanyol 45%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersRayo Vallecano 3 corners, Espanyol 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls15 foulsRayo Vallecano 10 fouls, Espanyol 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards1 cardRayo Vallecano 5 cards, Espanyol 1 card
  • Passes449 passes360 passesRayo Vallecano 449 passes, Espanyol 360 passes
  • Pass accuracy82.4%79.2%Rayo Vallecano 82.4%, Espanyol 79.2%
  • Shots inside box9 shots12 shotsRayo Vallecano 9 shots, Espanyol 12 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks7 blocksRayo Vallecano 4 blocks, Espanyol 7 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves0 savesRayo Vallecano 3 saves, Espanyol 0 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesRayo Vallecano 0 offsides, Espanyol 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 3′Álvaro GarcíaGoal · Rayo Vallecano
  2. 26′Adrià PedrosaGoal · Rayo Vallecano
  3. 45′Unai LópezYellow card · Rayo Vallecano
  4. Half-time
  5. 54′Roberto FernándezGoal · Espanyol
  6. 63′Marcos FernándezYellow card · Espanyol
  7. 67′Giorgi TsitaishviliYellow card · Rayo Vallecano
  8. 70′Pathé Ismaël CissYellow card · Rayo Vallecano
  9. 80′Gnangoro BouaréYellow card · Rayo Vallecano
  10. 90′AlemãoYellow card · Rayo Vallecano
  11. 90′Omar El HilaliRed card · Espanyol
  12. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Espanyol · 3 player changesMarcos Fernández · Edu Expósito · Bryan Zaragoza
  • 61′Rayo Vallecano · 2 player changesGnangoro Bouaré · Óscar Valentín
  • 74′Espanyol · 1 player changeÁlex Calatrava
  • 76′Rayo Vallecano · 2 player changesFran Pérez · Alemão
  • 84′Rayo Vallecano · 1 player changeIván Balliu
  • 84′Espanyol · 1 player changePol Lozano

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Rayo Vallecano4-4-2
  1. Emil AuderoG
  2. Andrei RațiuD
  3. Pathé Ismaël CissD
  4. Adrià PedrosaD
  5. Florian LejeuneD
  6. Unai LópezM
  7. Álvaro GarcíaM
  8. Fran PérezM
  9. Óscar ValentínM
  10. AlemãoF
  11. Giorgi TsitaishviliF
Espanyol4-4-2
  1. Marko DmitrovićG
  2. Clemens RiedelD
  3. Leandro CabreraD
  4. Roger HinojoD
  5. Omar El HilaliD
  6. Edu ExpósitoM
  7. Bryan ZaragozaM
  8. Gabriel MoscardoM
  9. Tyrhys DolanM
  10. Roberto FernándezF
  11. Álex CalatravaF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Rayo Vallecano
0Draws
4Espanyol
Rayo Vallecano — Espanyol · La Liga1–0
Espanyol — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–0
Rayo Vallecano — Espanyol · La Liga0–4
Espanyol — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–1
Rayo Vallecano — Espanyol · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rayo Vallecano favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Espanyol in 6 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano6 matchesEspanyol6 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.5 goals/match
2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.26 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots6/612 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/63.83 shots/match
46.3%Possession6/6● 46.7%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners6/62 corners/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls6/617.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 15 Sept 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRayo VallecanoEspanyol
CompetitionLa Liga
Head-to-headRayo Vallecano — Espanyol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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