Ligue 1 · 2023Sat, 13 Jan 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Stade Rennais

WLLDW

2–0Full-time recap

Nice

WLWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Stade Rennais	Nice
Shots	15 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	2.06 xG/match▲	0.66 xG/match
Possession	43%	57%●
Corners	6 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Stade Rennais: 15 shots, 5 on target, 2.07 xG. Nice: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.66 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Rennais 2.07 xG · Nice 0.66 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Stade Rennais

1Draws

3Nice

5 Nov 2023Nice — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–0

6 May 2023Nice — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–1

2 Jan 2023Stade Rennais — Nice · Ligue 12–1

2 Apr 2022Nice — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–1

12 Dec 2021Stade Rennais — Nice · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Stade Rennais favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Nice in 7 · 2 too close

1.39 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 18/181.06 goals/match

1.22 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 18/18▲0.61 goals/match

1.53 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 18/181.41 xG/match

1.14 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 18/18▲0.97 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 18/1813.1 shots/match

11.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 18/18▲10.1 shots/match

5.22 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 18/184.56 shots/match

4.06 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 18/18▲2.78 shots/match

53.4%●Possessionseason · 18/1853.2%

4.94 corners/matchCornersseason · 18/18●5.17 corners/match

5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 18/18▲2.78 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/1811.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/18▲61%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 18/18▲72%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Stade Rennais75

Nice69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Stade Rennais81.5

Nice48.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Stade Rennais62

Nice95.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Stade Rennais91.7

Nice41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Stade Rennais16.7

Nice36.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Stade Rennais47.2

Nice63.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Stade Rennais59

Nice52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Stade Rennais18 matchesNice18 matches

1.39 goals/match▲Goals scored18/181.06 goals/match

1.22 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲0.61 goals/match

1.53 xG/match▲Expected goals18/181.41 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shots18/1813.1 shots/match

5.22 shots/match▲Shots on target18/184.56 shots/match

53.4%●Possession18/1853.2%

4.94 corners/matchCorners18/18●5.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.1 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Stade Rennais10 matchesNice9 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/90.89 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/9▲1 goals/match

1.93 xG/match▲Expected goals10/91.35 xG/match

15.6 shots/match▲Shots10/913 shots/match

5.5 shots/matchShots on target10/95.56 shots/match

50.9%Possession10/9●55.4%

4.7 corners/matchCorners10/9●5.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.7 fouls/matchFouls10/913 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/124 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples18 / 18home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Jan 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4