Ligue 1 · 2023Fri, 26 Jan 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Olympique Lyonnais

LWWWL

2–3Full-time recap

Stade Rennais

LLDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Olympique Lyonnais	Stade Rennais
Shots	12 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	0.93 xG/match▲	0.85 xG/match
Possession	63%●	37%
Corners	3 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Olympique Lyonnais: 12 shots, 6 on target, 0.95 xG. Stade Rennais: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Olympique Lyonnais 0.95 xG · Stade Rennais 0.84 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Olympique Lyonnais's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Olympique Lyonnais's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Olympique Lyonnais's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Olympique Lyonnais's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Olympique Lyonnais have a visible home split

moderate

Olympique Lyonnais's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.4 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season12.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	14.4 shots/match	12.3 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Olympique Lyonnais

0Draws

3Stade Rennais

12 Nov 2023Stade Rennais — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 10–1

9 Apr 2023Olympique Lyonnais — Stade Rennais · Ligue 13–1

16 Oct 2022Stade Rennais — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 13–2

13 Mar 2022Olympique Lyonnais — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–4

7 Nov 2021Stade Rennais — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 14–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Olympique Lyonnais favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Stade Rennais in 8 · 3 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 19/19▲1.47 goals/match

1.74 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 19/19▲1.26 goals/match

1.29 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 19/19▲1.49 xG/match

1.62 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 19/19▲1.13 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 19/19▲14.6 shots/match

13.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 19/19▲11.5 shots/match

4.89 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 19/19▲5.21 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 19/19▲4.16 shots/match

51.8%Possessionseason · 19/19●52.5%

4.79 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/194.79 corners/match

4.26 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 19/194.89 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1911.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

32%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/1921%

68%Scoring frequencyseason · 19/1968%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Olympique Lyonnais58.3

Stade Rennais69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Olympique Lyonnais41.7

Stade Rennais84.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Olympique Lyonnais26.9

Stade Rennais62

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Olympique Lyonnais30.6

Stade Rennais86.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Olympique Lyonnais86.1

Stade Rennais19.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Olympique Lyonnais44.4

Stade Rennais44.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Olympique Lyonnais59

Stade Rennais59

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Olympique Lyonnais19 matchesStade Rennais19 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲1.47 goals/match

1.74 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲1.26 goals/match

1.29 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲1.49 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShots19/19▲14.6 shots/match

4.89 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲5.21 shots/match

51.8%Possession19/19●52.5%

4.79 corners/matchCorners19/194.79 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.9 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Olympique Lyonnais10 matchesStade Rennais9 matches

1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/90.89 goals/match

1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/9▲1.11 goals/match

1.55 xG/match▲Expected goals10/91 xG/match

14.4 shots/match▲Shots10/913.6 shots/match

5.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/94.89 shots/match

53.1%Possession10/9●54.3%

5.1 corners/match●Corners10/94.89 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.1 fouls/matchFouls10/912.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples19 / 19home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Jan 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4