Ligue 1 · 2023Sat, 27 Jan 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Olympique de Marseille

WWWDD

2–2Full-time recap

AS Monaco

WWLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Olympique de Marseille	AS Monaco
Shots	22 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	2.49 xG/match▲	0.47 xG/match
Possession	69%●	31%
Corners	10 corners/match●	1 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Olympique de Marseille: 22 shots, 9 on target, 2.70 xG. AS Monaco: 6 shots, 5 on target, 0.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Olympique de Marseille 2.70 xG · AS Monaco 0.45 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Olympique de Marseille's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Olympique de Marseille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Olympique de Marseille's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.47 goals/match	1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.05 corners/match●CornersOlympique de Marseille · AS Monaco5.68 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Olympique de Marseille	AS Monaco	Baseline
Corners	6.05 corners/match	5.68 corners/match	4.87 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Olympique de Marseille

1Draws

2AS Monaco

30 Sept 2023AS Monaco — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 13–2

28 Jan 2023Olympique de Marseille — AS Monaco · Ligue 11–1

13 Nov 2022AS Monaco — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 12–3

6 Mar 2022Olympique de Marseille — AS Monaco · Ligue 10–1

11 Sept 2021AS Monaco — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 10–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Olympique de Marseille favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · AS Monaco in 4 · 4 too close

1.47 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 19/19▲1.89 goals/match

1.11 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 19/191.42 goals/match

1.69 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 19/191.43 xG/match

0.87 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 19/191.23 xG/match

14.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 19/1914.5 shots/match

11.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 19/1911.3 shots/match

4.47 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 19/19▲6.16 shots/match

3.89 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 19/194.53 shots/match

52.5%Possessionseason · 19/19●53.9%

6.05 corners/match●Cornersseason · 19/195.68 corners/match

4.58 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 19/19▲4.11 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1914.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

32%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/1926%

74%Scoring frequencyseason · 19/19▲79%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Olympique de Marseille63.9

AS Monaco86.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Olympique de Marseille64.8

AS Monaco88

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Olympique de Marseille76.9

AS Monaco49.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Olympique de Marseille69.4

AS Monaco80.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Olympique de Marseille13.9

AS Monaco91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Olympique de Marseille97.2

AS Monaco91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Olympique de Marseille56.9

AS Monaco88.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Olympique de Marseille19 matchesAS Monaco19 matches

1.47 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲1.89 goals/match

1.11 goals/match▲Goals allowed19/191.42 goals/match

1.69 xG/match▲Expected goals19/191.43 xG/match

14.1 shots/matchShots19/1914.5 shots/match

4.47 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲6.16 shots/match

52.5%Possession19/19●53.9%

6.05 corners/match●Corners19/195.68 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.1 fouls/matchFouls19/1914.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Olympique de Marseille10 matchesAS Monaco10 matches

1.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2 goals/match

0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.9 goals/match

1.86 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.48 xG/match

13.7 shots/matchShots10/1014.2 shots/match

4.9 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲6 shots/match

51.9%●Possession10/1051.4%

5.6 corners/matchCorners10/105.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.2 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples19 / 19home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Jan 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4