PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Montpellier 0–0 Lille · Ligue 1

0–0Historical match

Lille

WDDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Montpellier and Lille drew 0–0.

Shots
1212
Shots on target
70
Expected goals
0.670.53
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Montpellier and Lille drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Montpellier – Lille): shots 12–12, shots on target 7–0, expected goals 0.67–0.53, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Montpellier's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Montpellier's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Montpellier have a visible home split

moderate

Montpellier's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Lille have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.1%PossessionMontpellier · Lille● 57.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMontpellierLilleBaseline
Possession43.1%57.5%51.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots12 shotsMontpellier 12 shots, Lille 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots0 shotsMontpellier 7 shots, Lille 0 shots
  • Expected goals0.67 xG0.53 xGMontpellier 0.67 xG, Lille 0.53 xG
  • Possession39%61%Montpellier 39%, Lille 61%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersMontpellier 5 corners, Lille 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls16 foulsMontpellier 13 fouls, Lille 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Joris Chotard · Montpellier · 33′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedWahbi Khazri · Montpellier · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTiago Santos · Lille · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoris Chotard · Montpellier · 39′ · 0.03 xG · on targetThéo Sainte-Luce · Montpellier · 72′ · 0.03 xG · on targetYusuf Yazıcı · Lille · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdam Ounas · Lille · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTeji Savanier · Montpellier · 10′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJonathan David · Lille · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAkor Adams · Montpellier · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAkor Adams · Montpellier · 60′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAkor Adams · Montpellier · 27′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTiago Santos · Lille · 15′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAngel Gomes · Lille · 22′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Gudmundsson · Lille · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 69′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSilvan Hefti · Montpellier · 79′ · 0.07 xG · on targetSilvan Hefti · Montpellier · 71′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAkor Adams · Montpellier · 40′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 78′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedWahbi Khazri · Montpellier · 32′ · 0.16 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Montpellier: 12 shots, 7 on target, 0.67 xG. Lille: 12 shots, 0 on target, 0.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Montpellier 0.67 xG · Lille 0.54 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Montpellier
0Draws
5Lille
Lille — Montpellier · Ligue 11–0
Lille — Montpellier · Ligue 12–1
Montpellier — Lille · Ligue 11–3
Montpellier — Lille · Ligue 10–1
Lille — Montpellier · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Montpellier favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Lille in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Montpellier19 matchesLille19 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.26 goals/match
1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 0.74 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 1.39 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots19/1913.2 shots/match
4.95 shots/matchShots on target19/194.84 shots/match
43.1%Possession19/19● 57.5%
4.11 corners/matchCorners19/19● 5.37 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls19/1910.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Jan 2024, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMontpellierLille
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headMontpellier — Lille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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