Ligue 1 · 2023

Stade Rennais 2–1 Montpellier · Ligue 1

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Rennais won 2–1.

Shots
917
Shots on target
39
Expected goals
1.971.27
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Rennais beat Montpellier 2–1. Recorded in this match (Stade Rennais – Montpellier): shots 9–17, shots on target 3–9, expected goals 1.97–1.27, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Montpellier's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Montpellier's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Montpellier have a visible away split

moderate

Montpellier's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Stade Rennais show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Stade Rennais's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Rennais · Montpellier13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade RennaisMontpellierBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match15.2 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots17 shotsStade Rennais 9 shots, Montpellier 17 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots9 shotsStade Rennais 3 shots, Montpellier 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.97 xG1.27 xGStade Rennais 1.97 xG, Montpellier 1.27 xG
  • Possession49%51%Stade Rennais 49%, Montpellier 51%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersStade Rennais 5 corners, Montpellier 3 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls12 foulsStade Rennais 17 fouls, Montpellier 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Yann Karamoh · Montpellier · 70′ · 0.01 xG · on targetBećir Omeragić · Montpellier · 72′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLucas Mincarelli · Montpellier · 42′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJoris Chotard · Montpellier · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTeji Savanier · Montpellier · 51′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Jullien · Montpellier · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBećir Omeragić · Montpellier · 56′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTeji Savanier · Montpellier · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMartin Terrier · Stade Rennais · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArthur Theate · Stade Rennais · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTeji Savanier · Montpellier · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYann Karamoh · Montpellier · 72′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTeji Savanier · Montpellier · 73′ · 0.08 xG · goalBećir Omeragić · Montpellier · 45′ · 0.09 xG · on targetWahbi Khazri · Montpellier · 77′ · 0.09 xG · on targetGuéla Doué · Stade Rennais · 32′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedWahbi Khazri · Montpellier · 63′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMartin Terrier · Stade Rennais · 45′ · 0.12 xG · on targetChristopher Jullien · Montpellier · 52′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedWahbi Khazri · Montpellier · 20′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Bourigeaud · Stade Rennais · 60′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedArthur Theate · Stade Rennais · 18′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedTanguy Coulibaly · Montpellier · 56′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedMartin Terrier · Stade Rennais · 3′ · 0.47 xG · goalArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 48′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Rennais: 9 shots, 3 on target, 2.01 xG. Montpellier: 17 shots, 8 on target, 1.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Martin Terrier · Stade Rennais · 3′Arnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 48′Teji Savanier · Montpellier · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Rennais 2.01 xG · Montpellier 1.28 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Stade Rennais
1Draws
1Montpellier
Montpellier — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–0
Montpellier — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–0
Stade Rennais — Montpellier · Ligue 13–0
Montpellier — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–4
Stade Rennais — Montpellier · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Rennais favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Montpellier in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Rennais20 matchesMontpellier20 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/201 goal/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed20/201.25 goals/match
1.52 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/201.3 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots20/2013.5 shots/match
5.1 shots/matchShots on target20/205.15 shots/match
52.4% ●Possession20/2043.5%
4.8 corners/match ●Corners20/204.05 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls20/2012.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Feb 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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