PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Le Havre 0–1 Stade Rennais · Ligue 1

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Rennais won 0–1.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.110.94
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Rennais beat Le Havre 1–0. Recorded in this match (Le Havre – Stade Rennais): shots 13–11, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.11–0.94, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Rennais's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Stade Rennais's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Le Havre have a visible home split

moderate

Le Havre's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match11 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Stade Rennais have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.1%PossessionLe Havre · Stade Rennais● 52.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLe HavreStade RennaisBaseline
Possession44.1%52.3%51.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsLe Havre 13 shots, Stade Rennais 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsLe Havre 5 shots, Stade Rennais 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.11 xG0.94 xGLe Havre 1.11 xG, Stade Rennais 0.94 xG
  • Possession49%51%Le Havre 49%, Stade Rennais 51%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerLe Havre 5 corners, Stade Rennais 1 corner
  • Fouls14 fouls7 foulsLe Havre 14 fouls, Stade Rennais 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Guéla Doué · Stade Rennais · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 46′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGuéla Doué · Stade Rennais · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBaptiste Santamaria · Stade Rennais · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMohamed Bayo · Le Havre · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosué Casimir · Le Havre · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndré Ayew · Le Havre · 83′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMartin Terrier · Stade Rennais · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndré Ayew · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEmmanuel Sabbi · Le Havre · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Bourigeaud · Stade Rennais · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Joujou · Le Havre · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMartin Terrier · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Stade Rennais · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Sabbi · Le Havre · 40′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Salah · Stade Rennais · 62′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGautier Lloris · Le Havre · 4′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Bourigeaud · Stade Rennais · 60′ · 0.15 xG · goalSteve Ngoura · Le Havre · 86′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAndré Ayew · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedSteve Ngoura · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMohamed Bayo · Le Havre · 17′ · 0.19 xG · on targetIbrahim Salah · Stade Rennais · 62′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Le Havre: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.12 xG. Stade Rennais: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.96 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Benjamin Bourigeaud · Stade Rennais · 60′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Le Havre 1.12 xG · Stade Rennais 0.96 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Le Havre
1Draws
0Stade Rennais
Stade Rennais — Le Havre · Ligue 12–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Le Havre favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Rennais in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Le Havre21 matchesStade Rennais21 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.48 goals/match
1.19 goals/matchGoals allowed21/211.19 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.49 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 14.2 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 4.95 shots/match
44.1%Possession21/21● 52.3%
3.76 corners/matchCorners21/21● 4.62 corners/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls21/2111.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Feb 2024, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLe HavreStade Rennais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required