PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Lille 3–0 Le Havre · Ligue 1

Lille

LWDWL
3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lille won 3–0.

Shots
176
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
3.780.61
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lille beat Le Havre 3–0. Recorded in this match (Lille – Le Havre): shots 17–6, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 3.78–0.61, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lille's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.45 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.45 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Le Havre show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Le Havre's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsLille · Le Havre10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLilleLe HavreBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match10.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against8.86 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Le Havre have a visible away split

moderate

Le Havre's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.92 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.92 shots/match10.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots6 shotsLille 17 shots, Le Havre 6 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsLille 8 shots, Le Havre 2 shots
  • Expected goals3.78 xG0.61 xGLille 3.78 xG, Le Havre 0.61 xG
  • Possession62%38%Lille 62%, Le Havre 38%
  • Corners1 corner3 cornersLille 1 corner, Le Havre 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls17 foulsLille 11 fouls, Le Havre 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Abdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 61′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsmaily · Lille · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTiago Santos · Lille · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTiago Santos · Lille · 15′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAndré Ayew · Le Havre · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRémy Cabella · Lille · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÉtienne Youte Kinkoue · Le Havre · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArouna Sangante · Le Havre · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Yazıcı · Lille · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin André · Lille · 19′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 45′ · 0.08 xG · on targetEmmanuel Sabbi · Le Havre · 81′ · 0.10 xG · on targetLeny Yoro · Lille · 14′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJonathan David · Lille · 14′ · 0.29 xG · goalJonathan David · Lille · 44′ · 0.35 xG · goalSamuel Grandsir · Le Havre · 3′ · 0.37 xG · on targetTiago Morais · Lille · 89′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 49′ · 0.38 xG · goalJonathan David · Lille · 60′ · 0.40 xG · on targetJonathan David · Lille · 60′ · 0.68 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 42′ · 0.69 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 49′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lille: 17 shots, 8 on target, 4.46 xG. Le Havre: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Jonathan David · Lille · 14′Jonathan David · Lille · 44′Jonathan David · Lille · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lille 4.46 xG · Le Havre 0.60 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lille
0Draws
0Le Havre
Le Havre — Lille · Ligue 10–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lille favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Le Havre in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lille22 matchesLe Havre22 matches
1.45 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.05 goals/match
0.77 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.27 goals/match
1.56 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221.06 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots22/2210.8 shots/match
5.27 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/223.5 shots/match
57.4% ●Possession22/2243.8%
5.59 corners/match ●Corners22/223.73 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls22/2213.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Feb 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLilleLe Havre
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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