Ligue 1 · 2023

Nantes 0–2 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1

Nantes

LLDLW
0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 0–2.

Shots
1212
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.351.55
Possession
23%77%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat Nantes 2–0. Recorded in this match (Nantes – Paris Saint-Germain): shots 12–12, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.35–1.55, possession 23%–77%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nantes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nantes's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.4%PossessionNantes · Paris Saint-Germain● 65%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNantesParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Possession45.4%65%51.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots12 shotsNantes 12 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsNantes 7 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.35 xG1.55 xGNantes 1.35 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 1.55 xG
  • Possession23%77%Nantes 23%, Paris Saint-Germain 77%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersNantes 3 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 8 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsNantes 10 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Moussa Sissoko · Nantes · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pallois · Nantes · 54′ · 0.01 xG · on targetManuel Ugarte · Paris Saint-Germain · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Hernández · Paris Saint-Germain · 60′ · 0.02 xG · goalPedro Chirivella · Nantes · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedManuel Ugarte · Paris Saint-Germain · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beraldo · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Coco · Nantes · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMoses Simon · Nantes · 89′ · 0.05 xG · on targetVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 49′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 70′ · 0.12 xG · on targetSamuel Moutoussamy · Nantes · 80′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedPedro Chirivella · Nantes · 80′ · 0.18 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 34′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMarquinhos · Paris Saint-Germain · 52′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAugusto Douglas · Nantes · 45′ · 0.22 xG · on targetMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 45′ · 0.26 xG · on targetNicolas Cozza · Nantes · 45′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 78′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nantes: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.48 xG. Paris Saint-Germain: 12 shots, 2 on target, 1.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Lucas Hernández · Paris Saint-Germain · 60′Kylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nantes 1.48 xG · Paris Saint-Germain 1.60 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Nantes
0Draws
4Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — Nantes · Ligue 12–1
Paris Saint-Germain — Nantes · Ligue 14–2
Nantes — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 10–3
Nantes — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 13–1
Paris Saint-Germain — Nantes · Ligue 13–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nantes favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nantes22 matchesParis Saint-Germain22 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 2.41 goals/match
1.55 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 0.82 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 2.11 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 14.8 shots/match
4.14 shots/matchShots on target22/21▲ 6.1 shots/match
45.4%Possession22/22● 65%
4.73 corners/matchCorners22/22● 5.45 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2210.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Feb 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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