PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

RC Strasbourg 1–3 Lorient · Ligue 1

1–3Historical match

Lorient

LLDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lorient won 1–3.

Shots
1813
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
1.492.07
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lorient beat RC Strasbourg 3–1. Recorded in this match (RC Strasbourg – Lorient): shots 18–13, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 1.49–2.07, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Strasbourg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RC Strasbourg's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RC Strasbourg have a visible home split

moderate

RC Strasbourg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lorient show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lorient's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsRC Strasbourg · Lorient9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRC StrasbourgLorientBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match9.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match16.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots13 shotsRC Strasbourg 18 shots, Lorient 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsRC Strasbourg 4 shots, Lorient 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.49 xG2.07 xGRC Strasbourg 1.49 xG, Lorient 2.07 xG
  • Possession62%38%RC Strasbourg 62%, Lorient 38%
  • Corners9 corners4 cornersRC Strasbourg 9 corners, Lorient 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsRC Strasbourg 13 fouls, Lorient 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Aiyegun Tosin · Lorient · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHabib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLaurent Abergel · Lorient · 35′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKévin Gameiro · RC Strasbourg · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÂngelo · RC Strasbourg · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKévin Gameiro · RC Strasbourg · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKévin Gameiro · RC Strasbourg · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKévin Gameiro · RC Strasbourg · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bamba · Lorient · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJunior Mwanga · RC Strasbourg · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAyman Kari · Lorient · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetThéo Le Bris · Lorient · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJunior Mwanga · RC Strasbourg · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJessy Deminguet · RC Strasbourg · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKévin Gameiro · RC Strasbourg · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThomas Delaine · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTiemoué Bakayoko · Lorient · 49′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJessy Deminguet · RC Strasbourg · 55′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bamba · Lorient · 77′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSouleymane Isaak Touré · Lorient · 10′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAbakar Sylla · RC Strasbourg · 21′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bamba · Lorient · 2′ · 0.10 xG · goalDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 84′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJessy Deminguet · RC Strasbourg · 40′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMohamed Bamba · Lorient · 54′ · 0.14 xG · on targetFrédéric Guilbert · RC Strasbourg · 51′ · 0.19 xG · goalJulien Ponceau · Lorient · 78′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedJulien Ponceau · Lorient · 49′ · 0.38 xG · goalEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 42′ · 0.49 xG · on targetMohamed Bamba · Lorient · 45′ · 0.74 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Strasbourg: 18 shots, 4 on target, 1.46 xG. Lorient: 13 shots, 6 on target, 2.00 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Frédéric Guilbert · RC Strasbourg · 51′Mohamed Bamba · Lorient · 2′Mohamed Bamba · Lorient · 45′Julien Ponceau · Lorient · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Strasbourg 1.46 xG · Lorient 2.00 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2RC Strasbourg
2Draws
1Lorient
Lorient — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–2
Lorient — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–1
RC Strasbourg — Lorient · Ligue 11–1
Lorient — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 10–0
RC Strasbourg — Lorient · Ligue 14–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Strasbourg favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Lorient in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Strasbourg22 matchesLorient22 matches
1.05 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 1.41 goals/match
1.45 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.95 goals/match
1.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221 xG/match
11.3 shots/match ▲Shots22/229.5 shots/match
3.64 shots/matchShots on target22/21▲ 3.9 shots/match
42.8%Possession22/22● 44.9%
3.55 corners/match ●Corners22/223.41 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls22/2212.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Feb 2024, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC StrasbourgLorient
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headRC Strasbourg — Lorient
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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