PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

RC Strasbourg 0–3 Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Brestois won 0–3.

Shots
615
Shots on target
28
Expected goals
0.151.82
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Brestois beat RC Strasbourg 3–0. Recorded in this match (RC Strasbourg – Stade Brestois): shots 6–15, shots on target 2–8, expected goals 0.15–1.82, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Strasbourg's recent record differs from the season

weak

RC Strasbourg's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RC Strasbourg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RC Strasbourg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsRC Strasbourg · Stade Brestois14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRC StrasbourgStade BrestoisBaseline
Shots11 shots/match14.6 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against12.2 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Stade Brestois have recorded the higher season possession share.

43%PossessionRC Strasbourg · Stade Brestois● 52.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRC StrasbourgStade BrestoisBaseline
Possession43%52.7%51.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots15 shotsRC Strasbourg 6 shots, Stade Brestois 15 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots8 shotsRC Strasbourg 2 shots, Stade Brestois 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.15 xG1.82 xGRC Strasbourg 0.15 xG, Stade Brestois 1.82 xG
  • Possession48%52%RC Strasbourg 48%, Stade Brestois 52%
  • Corners0 corners4 cornersRC Strasbourg 0 corners, Stade Brestois 4 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls10 foulsRC Strasbourg 21 fouls, Stade Brestois 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kévin Gameiro · RC Strasbourg · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Senaya · RC Strasbourg · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Senaya · RC Strasbourg · 66′ · 0.01 xG · on targetPierre Lees Melou · Stade Brestois · 77′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPierre Lees Melou · Stade Brestois · 12′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLucas Perrin · RC Strasbourg · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPierre Lees Melou · Stade Brestois · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJonas Martin · Stade Brestois · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMathias Pereira Lage · Stade Brestois · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMathias Pereira Lage · Stade Brestois · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMartín Satriano · Stade Brestois · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJunior Mwanga · RC Strasbourg · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAndrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 33′ · 0.06 xG · goalMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 44′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMartín Satriano · Stade Brestois · 7′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJérémy Le Douaron · Stade Brestois · 71′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJonas Martin · Stade Brestois · 5′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 40′ · 0.40 xG · goalMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 60′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Strasbourg: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.15 xG. Stade Brestois: 15 shots, 8 on target, 1.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Mahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 33′Mahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 40′Mahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 60′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Strasbourg 0.15 xG · Stade Brestois 1.86 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2RC Strasbourg
2Draws
1Stade Brestois
Stade Brestois — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–1
RC Strasbourg — Stade Brestois · Ligue 10–1
Stade Brestois — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–1
Stade Brestois — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 10–1
RC Strasbourg — Stade Brestois · Ligue 13–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Strasbourg favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Strasbourg23 matchesStade Brestois23 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.48 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 0.78 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 1.5 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 14.6 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 5.35 shots/match
43%Possession23/23● 52.7%
3.39 corners/matchCorners23/23● 4.61 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls23/2312.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Feb 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC StrasbourgStade Brestois
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headRC Strasbourg — Stade Brestois
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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