PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Paris Saint-Germain 3–1 Lille · Ligue 1

3–1Historical match

Lille

DLWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 3–1.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
2.831.2
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat Lille 3–1. Recorded in this match (Paris Saint-Germain – Lille): shots 16–10, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 2.83–1.2, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lille's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.33 corners/matchCornersParis Saint-Germain · Lille● 5.81 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainLilleBaseline
Corners5.33 corners/match5.81 corners/match4.75 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsParis Saint-Germain 16 shots, Lille 10 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsParis Saint-Germain 8 shots, Lille 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.83 xG1.2 xGParis Saint-Germain 2.83 xG, Lille 1.2 xG
  • Possession52%48%Paris Saint-Germain 52%, Lille 48%
  • Corners6 corners8 cornersParis Saint-Germain 6 corners, Lille 8 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsParis Saint-Germain 12 fouls, Lille 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Paris Saint-Germain
1Draws
0Lille
Lille — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–1
Paris Saint-Germain — Lille · Ligue 14–3
Lille — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–7
Lille — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–5
Paris Saint-Germain — Lille · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Lille in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain21 matchesLille21 matches
2.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/211.38 goals/match
0.86 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 0.81 goals/match
2.14 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/211.45 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots21/2113.5 shots/match
6.3 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/215.14 shots/match
64.5% ●Possession21/2157.1%
5.33 corners/matchCorners21/21● 5.81 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls21/2110.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Feb 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis Saint-GermainLille
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headParis Saint-Germain — Lille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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