Ligue 1 · 2023

RC Lens 3–1 RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

RC Lens

WLLWW
3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Lens won 3–1.

Shots
1019
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.571.89
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Lens beat RC Strasbourg 3–1. Recorded in this match (RC Lens – RC Strasbourg): shots 10–19, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.57–1.89, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Strasbourg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RC Strasbourg's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match11 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

RC Lens have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.3% ●PossessionRC Lens · RC Strasbourg41.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRC LensRC StrasbourgBaseline
Possession52.3%41.9%51.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots19 shotsRC Lens 10 shots, RC Strasbourg 19 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsRC Lens 6 shots, RC Strasbourg 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.57 xG1.89 xGRC Lens 1.57 xG, RC Strasbourg 1.89 xG
  • Possession50%50%RC Lens 50%, RC Strasbourg 50%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersRC Lens 4 corners, RC Strasbourg 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls14 foulsRC Lens 14 fouls, RC Strasbourg 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Florian Sotoca · RC Lens · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Senaya · RC Strasbourg · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrédéric Guilbert · RC Strasbourg · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbakar Sylla · RC Strasbourg · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKevin Danso · RC Lens · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · RC Lens · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 63′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 34′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJunior Mwanga · RC Strasbourg · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Senaya · RC Strasbourg · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Medina · RC Lens · 8′ · 0.05 xG · on targetHabib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndy Diouf · RC Lens · 66′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIbrahima Sissoko · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Sissoko · RC Strasbourg · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAbakar Sylla · RC Strasbourg · 81′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJhoanner Chávez · RC Lens · 3′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · RC Lens · 83′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJunior Mwanga · RC Strasbourg · 48′ · 0.09 xG · on targetEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 60′ · 0.09 xG · on targetDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 61′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJunior Mwanga · RC Strasbourg · 43′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 57′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedDavid Pereira Da Costa · RC Lens · 30′ · 0.16 xG · goalMarvin Senaya · RC Strasbourg · 70′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 58′ · 0.24 xG · goalEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 63′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedThomas Delaine · RC Strasbourg · 43′ · 0.38 xG · goalElye Wahi · RC Lens · 16′ · 0.88 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Lens: 10 shots, 6 on target, 1.61 xG. RC Strasbourg: 19 shots, 5 on target, 1.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Elye Wahi · RC Lens · 16′David Pereira Da Costa · RC Lens · 30′Florian Sotoca · RC Lens · 58′Thomas Delaine · RC Strasbourg · 43′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Lens 1.61 xG · RC Strasbourg 1.91 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2RC Lens
1Draws
2RC Strasbourg
RC Strasbourg — RC Lens · Ligue 10–1
RC Lens — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–1
RC Strasbourg — RC Lens · Ligue 12–2
RC Strasbourg — RC Lens · Ligue 11–0
RC Lens — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 10–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Lens favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Lens21 matchesRC Strasbourg21 matches
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/211.05 goals/match
0.95 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.38 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/211.24 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots21/2111 shots/match
5.05 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/213.62 shots/match
52.3% ●Possession21/2141.9%
5.24 corners/match ●Corners21/213.29 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls21/2113.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Feb 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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