Ligue 1 · 2023Sat, 13 Jan 2024, 16:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

AS Monaco

LWWLW

1–3Full-time recap

Stade de Reims

LWLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	AS Monaco	Stade de Reims
Shots	9 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match	5 shots/match
Expected goals	1.18 xG/match	1.54 xG/match▲
Possession	57%●	43%
Corners	6 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

AS Monaco: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.18 xG. Stade de Reims: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AS Monaco 1.18 xG · Stade de Reims 1.53 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: AS Monaco's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

AS Monaco's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AS Monaco's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.89 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1.89 goals/match	1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2AS Monaco

1Draws

2Stade de Reims

7 Oct 2023Stade de Reims — AS Monaco · Ligue 11–3

12 Mar 2023AS Monaco — Stade de Reims · Ligue 10–1

18 Sept 2022Stade de Reims — AS Monaco · Ligue 10–3

27 Feb 2022AS Monaco — Stade de Reims · Ligue 11–2

7 Nov 2021Stade de Reims — AS Monaco · Ligue 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

AS Monaco favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Stade de Reims in 2 · 5 too close

1.89 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 18/181.39 goals/match

1.39 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 18/181.33 goals/match

1.48 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 18/181.31 xG/match

1.16 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 18/181.16 xG/match

15 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 18/1812 shots/match

10.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 18/1812.1 shots/match

6.22 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 18/184.33 shots/match

4.28 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 18/18▲4 shots/match

55.2%●Possessionseason · 18/1851.2%

5.94 corners/match●Cornersseason · 18/185.22 corners/match

3.78 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 18/185.56 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

14.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/1812.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

28%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/1828%

78%Scoring frequencyseason · 18/18▲89%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

AS Monaco86.1

Stade de Reims52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

AS Monaco91.7

Stade de Reims50.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

AS Monaco56.5

Stade de Reims57.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

AS Monaco80.6

Stade de Reims13.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

AS Monaco97.2

Stade de Reims58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

AS Monaco97.2

Stade de Reims69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

AS Monaco94.5

Stade de Reims51.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

AS Monaco18 matchesStade de Reims18 matches

1.89 goals/match▲Goals scored18/181.39 goals/match

1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed18/181.33 goals/match

1.48 xG/match▲Expected goals18/181.31 xG/match

15 shots/match▲Shots18/1812 shots/match

6.22 shots/match▲Shots on target18/184.33 shots/match

55.2%●Possession18/1851.2%

5.94 corners/match●Corners18/185.22 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.9 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

AS Monaco9 matchesStade de Reims10 matches

1.78 goals/match▲Goals scored9/101.5 goals/match

0.89 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/101.5 goals/match

1.37 xG/match▲Expected goals9/101.13 xG/match

14.9 shots/match▲Shots9/1011.1 shots/match

6.33 shots/match▲Shots on target9/103.9 shots/match

56.8%●Possession9/1050.9%

5.78 corners/match●Corners9/105 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.1 fouls/matchFouls9/1014 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

23.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/123.8 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples18 / 18home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Jan 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4