PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Angers 2–1 RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

Angers

LWLLW
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Angers won 2–1.

Shots
515
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.750.99
Possession
28%72%

Full time

What the match recorded

Angers beat RC Strasbourg 2–1. Recorded in this match (Angers – RC Strasbourg): shots 5–15, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.75–0.99, possession 28%–72%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Angers's recent record differs from the season

weak

Angers's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.97 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.97 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

RC Strasbourg have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.7%PossessionAngers · RC Strasbourg● 49.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAngersRC StrasbourgBaseline
Possession40.7%49.8%48.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots15 shotsAngers 5 shots, RC Strasbourg 15 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsAngers 2 shots, RC Strasbourg 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.75 xG0.99 xGAngers 0.75 xG, RC Strasbourg 0.99 xG
  • Possession28%72%Angers 28%, RC Strasbourg 72%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersAngers 2 corners, RC Strasbourg 6 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls10 foulsAngers 6 fouls, RC Strasbourg 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Óscar Perea · RC Strasbourg · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGuéla Doué · RC Strasbourg · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFélix Lemaréchal · RC Strasbourg · 27′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLilian Raolisoa · Angers · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Amo-Ameyaw · RC Strasbourg · 72′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAndrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLilian Raolisoa · Angers · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 37′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 43′ · 0.09 xG · goalFélix Lemaréchal · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSékou Mara · RC Strasbourg · 82′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 30′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedHimad Abdelli · Angers · 51′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAndrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSékou Mara · RC Strasbourg · 50′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedEsteban Lepaul · Angers · 15′ · 0.25 xG · goalEsteban Lepaul · Angers · 48′ · 0.30 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Angers: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.74 xG. RC Strasbourg: 15 shots, 3 on target, 0.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Esteban Lepaul · Angers · 15′Esteban Lepaul · Angers · 48′Dilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 43′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Angers 0.74 xG · RC Strasbourg 0.97 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Angers
1Draws
3RC Strasbourg
RC Strasbourg — Angers · Ligue 11–1
RC Strasbourg — Angers · Ligue 12–1
Angers — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–3
Angers — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 10–1
RC Strasbourg — Angers · Ligue 10–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Angers favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Angers33 matchesRC Strasbourg33 matches
0.97 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 1.64 goals/match
1.55 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 1.24 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 1.43 xG/match
9.09 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 10.6 shots/match
2.84 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 4.28 shots/match
40.7%Possession32/32● 49.8%
3.66 corners/matchCorners32/32● 4.16 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls32/3211.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 May 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAngersRC Strasbourg
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headAngers — RC Strasbourg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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