PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Stade Rennais 2–0 Nice · Ligue 1

2–0Historical match

Nice

LDWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Rennais won 2–0.

Shots
1014
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
1.181.05
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Rennais beat Nice 2–0. Recorded in this match (Stade Rennais – Nice): shots 10–14, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 1.18–1.05, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Rennais's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Stade Rennais's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots14 shotsStade Rennais 10 shots, Nice 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsStade Rennais 4 shots, Nice 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.18 xG1.05 xGStade Rennais 1.18 xG, Nice 1.05 xG
  • Possession51%49%Stade Rennais 51%, Nice 49%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersStade Rennais 1 corner, Nice 5 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls13 foulsStade Rennais 5 fouls, Nice 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mohamed Ali Cho · Nice · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAli Abdi · Nice · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDjaoui Cissé · Stade Rennais · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMelvin Bard · Nice · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBadredine Bouanani · Nice · 26′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJérémie Boga · Nice · 57′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMousa Tamari · Stade Rennais · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJérémie Boga · Nice · 61′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMorgan Sanson · Nice · 9′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPablo Rosario · Nice · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMelvin Bard · Nice · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Mendy · Nice · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Sanson · Nice · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Truffert · Stade Rennais · 47′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMorgan Sanson · Nice · 33′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLorenz Assignon · Stade Rennais · 89′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 71′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBadredine Bouanani · Nice · 83′ · 0.14 xG · on targetSeko Fofana · Stade Rennais · 85′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 80′ · 0.43 xG · goalEvann Guessand · Nice · 23′ · 0.47 xG · on targetArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 15′ · 0.68 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Rennais: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.70 xG. Nice: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.05 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Arnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 15′Arnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Rennais 1.70 xG · Nice 1.05 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Stade Rennais
0Draws
3Nice
Nice — Stade Rennais · Ligue 13–2
Stade Rennais — Nice · Ligue 12–0
Nice — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–0
Nice — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–1
Stade Rennais — Nice · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Rennais favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Nice in 7

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Rennais33 matchesNice33 matches
1.48 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 1.82 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 1.24 goals/match
1.46 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲ 1.74 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots33/33▲ 14.4 shots/match
4.88 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 5.61 shots/match
51.5% ●Possession33/3347.7%
5 corners/matchCorners33/335 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls33/3311.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 May 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade RennaisNice
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headStade Rennais — Nice
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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