PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Nice 6–0 Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

Nice

DWWWL
6–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nice won 6–0.

Shots
1810
Shots on target
91
Expected goals
4.861
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nice beat Stade Brestois 6–0. Recorded in this match (Nice – Stade Brestois): shots 18–10, shots on target 9–1, expected goals 4.86–1, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Brestois's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Stade Brestois's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.53 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots10 shotsNice 18 shots, Stade Brestois 10 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots1 shotNice 9 shots, Stade Brestois 1 shot
  • Expected goals4.86 xG1 xGNice 4.86 xG, Stade Brestois 1 xG
  • Possession42%58%Nice 42%, Stade Brestois 58%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersNice 5 corners, Stade Brestois 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsNice 13 fouls, Stade Brestois 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pierre Lees Melou · Stade Brestois · 67′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMelvin Bard · Nice · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKenny Lala · Stade Brestois · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBradley Locko · Stade Brestois · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEdimilson Fernandes · Stade Brestois · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 5′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Mendy · Nice · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEvann Guessand · Nice · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBadredine Bouanani · Nice · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Mendy · Nice · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDante · Nice · 3′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGaëtan Laborde · Nice · 11′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedEvann Guessand · Nice · 22′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMathias Pereira Lage · Stade Brestois · 44′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedBadredine Bouanani · Nice · 56′ · 0.15 xG · on targetKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois · 53′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedEvann Guessand · Nice · 16′ · 0.17 xG · goalGaëtan Laborde · Nice · 75′ · 0.19 xG · goalEvann Guessand · Nice · 77′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 13′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedMama Baldé · Stade Brestois · 85′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedTerem Moffi · Nice · 90′ · 0.60 xG · on targetTerem Moffi · Nice · 90′ · 0.81 xG · on targetBadredine Bouanani · Nice · 28′ · 0.82 xG · goalAli Abdi · Nice · 90′ · 0.89 xG · goalGaëtan Laborde · Nice · 19′ · 0.94 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nice: 17 shots, 8 on target, 5.29 xG. Stade Brestois: 10 shots, 1 on target, 0.89 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.755.50′HT90′Evann Guessand · Nice · 16′Gaëtan Laborde · Nice · 19′Badredine Bouanani · Nice · 28′Gaëtan Laborde · Nice · 75′Ali Abdi · Nice · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nice 5.29 xG · Stade Brestois 0.89 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Nice
2Draws
1Stade Brestois
Stade Brestois — Nice · Ligue 10–1
Stade Brestois — Nice · Ligue 10–0
Nice — Stade Brestois · Ligue 10–0
Stade Brestois — Nice · Ligue 11–0
Nice — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nice favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 4

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nice34 matchesStade Brestois34 matches
1.94 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/341.53 goals/match
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.74 goals/match
1.83 xG/match ▲Expected goals34/331.32 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots34/3312.3 shots/match
5.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target34/334.7 shots/match
47.5%Possession34/33● 48.8%
5 corners/match ●Corners34/334.18 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls34/3312.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 May 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNiceStade Brestois
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headNice — Stade Brestois
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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