PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Olympique de Marseille 4–2 Stade Rennais · Ligue 1

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique de Marseille won 4–2.

Shots
179
Shots on target
103
Expected goals
3.991.15
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Olympique de Marseille beat Stade Rennais 4–2. Recorded in this match (Olympique de Marseille – Stade Rennais): shots 17–9, shots on target 10–3, expected goals 3.99–1.15, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Olympique de Marseille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Olympique de Marseille's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.4 goals/match2.18 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Olympique de Marseille have recorded the higher season possession share.

63.6% ●PossessionOlympique de Marseille · Stade Rennais51.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOlympique de MarseilleStade RennaisBaseline
Possession63.6%51.1%48.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots9 shotsOlympique de Marseille 17 shots, Stade Rennais 9 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots3 shotsOlympique de Marseille 10 shots, Stade Rennais 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.99 xG1.15 xGOlympique de Marseille 3.99 xG, Stade Rennais 1.15 xG
  • Possession61%39%Olympique de Marseille 61%, Stade Rennais 39%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersOlympique de Marseille 5 corners, Stade Rennais 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsOlympique de Marseille 8 fouls, Stade Rennais 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Anthony Rouault · Stade Rennais · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Koné · Stade Rennais · 14′ · 0.01 xG · goalLorenz Assignon · Stade Rennais · 17′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Rabiot · Olympique de Marseille · 33′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAzor Matusiwa · Stade Rennais · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Olympique de Marseille · 31′ · 0.04 xG · on targetArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 55′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAdrien Rabiot · Olympique de Marseille · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Balerdi · Olympique de Marseille · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 45′ · 0.07 xG · goalMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 87′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Rowe · Olympique de Marseille · 48′ · 0.09 xG · on targetPol Lirola · Olympique de Marseille · 48′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Rowe · Olympique de Marseille · 11′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 84′ · 0.17 xG · on targetAmine Gouiri · Olympique de Marseille · 1′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Olympique de Marseille · 59′ · 0.27 xG · on targetAdrien Rabiot · Olympique de Marseille · 38′ · 0.28 xG · goalAndrés Gómez · Stade Rennais · 81′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedAndrés Gómez · Stade Rennais · 77′ · 0.72 xG · goalAdrien Rabiot · Olympique de Marseille · 90′ · 0.81 xG · goalMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 21′ · 0.82 xG · goalMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 27′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Olympique de Marseille: 17 shots, 10 on target, 3.99 xG. Stade Rennais: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Mason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 21′Adrien Rabiot · Olympique de Marseille · 38′Mason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 45′Adrien Rabiot · Olympique de Marseille · 90′Ismael Koné · Stade Rennais · 14′Andrés Gómez · Stade Rennais · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Olympique de Marseille 3.99 xG · Stade Rennais 1.22 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Olympique de Marseille
1Draws
1Stade Rennais
Stade Rennais — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–2
Stade Rennais — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 12–0
Olympique de Marseille — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–0
Stade Rennais — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 10–1
Olympique de Marseille — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique de Marseille favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Rennais in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique de Marseille34 matchesStade Rennais34 matches
2.18 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/341.5 goals/match
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.47 goals/match
1.91 xG/match ▲Expected goals34/341.45 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots34/3412.7 shots/match
6.03 shots/match ▲Shots on target34/344.82 shots/match
63.6% ●Possession34/3451.1%
5.21 corners/match ●Corners34/345 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls34/3413.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 May 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique de MarseilleStade Rennais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headOlympique de Marseille — Stade Rennais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required